TailMyPicks
Market

Mls · resolved market

Will Austin FC win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,941
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,941 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes23c10,247$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.756349.2%31 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2501172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c3,609$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.521,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9917740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Yes21c2,388$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+58%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No77c2,047$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.7570249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes14c2,010$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.413324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd9f…c675backed Yes13c1,968$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No75c1,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3752360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c1,441$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.133,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No77c1,333$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.6772850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes22c1,239$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.1336646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed Yes24c1,200$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23053046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No76c912.6$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.1971443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No76c886.71$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9620043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes22c878.05$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.944447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No79c751.99$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No72c700$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19610358.3%60 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes20c527.37$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.191,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No74c523.42$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6319641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Yes24c512.33$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.963844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes32c479.85$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2312667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No78c469.72$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7127058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No79c469.66$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.635954.2%32 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes25c367.27$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.825154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes23c329.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4996756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No77c324.12$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.06966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No76c265.67$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2787154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes21c253.16$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1637649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7589…2775backed No79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.163100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes12c243.85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No76c235.01$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2947240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b03…b127backed Yes23c218.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502025%5 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes21c214.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4524326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No72c203.23$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.93060%18 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461910.5%2 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-77.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c175.11$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2897146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No79c166.7$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6354949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No74c160.28$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes20c145.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.437564%48 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No72c143.68$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.234158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked Yes15c129.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1850%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dee…30b1backed Yes23c126.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes22c121.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.66232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No69c120.51$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3180249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed No79c110.19$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.144470.5%31 W · 13 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xffdf…97f8backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+92.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes31c99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2135550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes27c99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6415676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xd5ad…cdfdbacked Yes21c91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No71c86.28$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.024254.8%23 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83a6…ca9fbacked Yes29c83.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Yes23c81.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.852142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed No79c81.01$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.013040%12 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaae5…7974backed No76c79.68$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.121080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+59.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes19c78.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.777327.4%20 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes15c78.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No77c77$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8844350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed No75c76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No77c75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1178344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.638344.6%37 W · 46 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+40.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes28c72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick31cpaid-84.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No74c66.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9735149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No70c66.05$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8198945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed No77c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.157367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Yes25c62.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes24c61.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.846352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes25c56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6951…66f3backed Yes22c54.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.36453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Yes27c49.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.462138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed No79c48.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.292965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No69c48.43$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0112654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No71c42.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5213952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes24c42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0842947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No75c40.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.15757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8a…f7abbacked Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.89437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4df…e6cfbacked No71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.61283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3df8…4e03backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No67c39.54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0527344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No73c36.67$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.831,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No74c35.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1716948.5%82 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c30.28$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7280358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked No68c29.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.215850%29 W · 29 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+73.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No78c25.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5914957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked No79c25.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.384953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8850…60b1backed No79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf051…900ebacked No65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+82.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No78c23.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1645140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked No79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.27038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No72c18.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2291553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e70…2645backed No75c18.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No78c16.91$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.652556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed No77c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.683658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.