Mls · resolved market
Will Austin FC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa60df8ce416772e4aff80b92200d4d16f7759ff0f5f88db1572bb0d064a6c072
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 25c | 11,428$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.36 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 77c | 7,894$6,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 4,011$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.29 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 2,967$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.41 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 23c | 2,446$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.66 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 77c | 2,083$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.32 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 50c | 2,001$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 1,984$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.94 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 77c | 1,670$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.36 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 75c | 1,471$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 4c | 1,425$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 3c | 1,269$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 10c | 1,153$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,089$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.55 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 59c | 1,009$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.8 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.4 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 8c | 972$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 24c | 955.75$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.37 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed No | 12c | 935.11$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.93 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 40c | 933.88$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.38 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 44c | 918.13$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.13 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 25c | 916.34$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.19 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed No | 3c | 722$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Yes | 68c | 705.56$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 618.28$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.99 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 79c | 513.1$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…0595backed Yes | 75c | 487$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 34c | 473.6$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.23 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 70c | 417.21$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.67 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 24c | 361.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.87 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 72c | 356.92$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed No | 10c | 349$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked No | 29c | 341.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked No | 22c | 336$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 26c | 327.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 77c | 324.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 272.87$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.38 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Yes | 21c | 242.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.58per pick | 26cpaid | +348.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 22c | 230$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 69c | 205.17$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 41c | 202.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…a7a3backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 76c | 160.28$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5a…1179backed No | 68c | 159.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 14c | 130$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 22c | 122.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 95.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 46c | 93.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 48c | 84.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked No | 22c | 77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaba…cf38backed No | 67c | 74.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yes | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 21c | 58.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 25c | 45.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…6272backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 56c | 41.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 76c | 40.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb696…7a4ebacked Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 39.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b9…f9ebbacked Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 33c | 37.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d48…f398backed Yes | 65c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked No | 67c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e3…1987backed Yes | 59c | 27.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 77c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 66c | 23.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73db…1507backed No | 67c | 22.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 67c | 16.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 76c | 16.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed No | 72c | 15.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…6635backed No | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 77c | 14.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austin FC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?this page
- Will Austin FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.