Mls · resolved market
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13e48a9588dd5b38c1aebb4ef477a8165b7ee412b90ff71dd05ba704746db2bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $543,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $554,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $543,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Yes | 55c | 459,084$250,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250,267.28 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 77,870$37,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,841.98 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 44c | 72,347$31,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,429.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…66f3backed No | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 33,370$15,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,195.37 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 44c | 25,109$11,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,029.32 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Yes | 50c | 16,946$8,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,456.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 46c | 11,499$5,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,232.66 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…30e5backed No | 45c | 11,246$5,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,185.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 10,709$5,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,428.03 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 10,500$4,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,635 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 47c | 10,366$4,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,510.93 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed No | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.6wins | +0.40per pick | 46cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 51c | 9,353$4,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,614.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 50c | 9,300$4,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,617 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 46c | 8,748$4,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,721.5 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 46c | 8,304$3,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,485.59 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 48c | 8,261$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,316.41 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 46c | 7,783$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.77 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2829…12a0backed No | 45c | 7,618$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 45c | 7,496$3,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,122.58 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked No | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 48c | 6,049$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.11 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Yes | 56c | 6,018$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 6,000$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 49c | 5,878$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.75 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed No | 46c | 5,738$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.4 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 47c | 5,374$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.96 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 5,046$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.96 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 5,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…c50abacked No | 45c | 4,650$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 49c | 4,502$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.02 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed No | 47c | 3,986$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.74 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 54c | 3,678$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.78 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 48c | 3,178$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.24 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 46c | 2,969$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 51c | 2,917$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.08 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 59c | 2,894$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 46c | 2,700$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 53c | 2,574$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.86 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 2,437$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.01 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 48c | 2,435$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.04 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 38c | 2,388$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…cc4bbacked No | 45c | 2,352$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked No | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 45c | 2,023$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.48 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 45c | 2,013$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.33 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 47c | 1,617$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.07 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,611$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 45c | 1,566$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.24 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 53c | 1,357$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.32 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Yes | 57c | 1,022$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.52 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 43c | 1,022$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.52 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…de32backed No | 45c | 1,002$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed No | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 46c | 914$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.08 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 904$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.72 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 75c | 888.94$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.78 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 57c | 866.91$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 78c | 786.46$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.95 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed No | 47c | 673.95$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.19 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 77c | 670.77$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.12 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked No | 49c | 655.92$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.92 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 45c | 646$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.29 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…ad74backed Yes | 55c | 538$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 47c | 537.1$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked No | 52c | 534.82$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Yes | 55c | 531.57$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.36 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 58c | 517.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.48 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 23c | 501.81$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked No | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 67c | 490.3$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.56 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 47c | 444.02$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.33 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…24c6backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 46c | 411.7$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.05 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 53c | 405.86$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.36 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 46c | 405.79$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.04 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…236dbacked No | 47c | 404$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 46c | 391.4$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.67 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 48c | 380$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.9 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 45c | 374.78$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.13 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 55c | 363.69$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.05 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Yes | 56c | 348.21$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 27c | 333.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked No | 45c | 326.09$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 46c | 324.12$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 47c | 321$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.87 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed No | 32c | 314$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 45c | 310.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.03 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 48c | 300$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 45c | 288.26$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.54 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 45c | 282$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.1 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed Yes | 50c | 281.86$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…db45backed Yes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 47c | 265$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Yes | 18c | 234.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Austin FC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Austin FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.