TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7618…24c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Asian League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT5135.3%18 W · 33 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.75
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonaldbacked Cezar Cretu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$26.89
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.58
Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damasbacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,047.94
Augsburg: Mika Brunold vs Liam Gavrielidesbacked Mika Brunold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,176Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$2,676.41
Augsburg: Matthew William Donald vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Matthew William Donald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Augsburg: Dominik Recek vs Benito Sanchez Martinezbacked Dominik Recek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Augsburg: Denis Yevseyev vs Svyatoslav Gulinbacked Denis Yevseyev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Monterrey Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$929Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$929.43
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Ryan Seggermanbacked Abedallah Shelbayh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$450
Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Lucas Poullainbacked Lucas Poullain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$1,094.89
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$3,054.45
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,929Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$2,981.63
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanovbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,926Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,926.15
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Quebec City: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Soon-Woo Kwon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Cancun: Otto Virtanen vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$53.32
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$94.14
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
ITF W15 Campos do Jordão 2 Women: Natalia Sousa Salazar vs Maria Fernanda Lopesbacked Natalia Sousa Salazar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$25.83
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$710.12
Kingston: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midonbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kingston: Juan Carlos Prado vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Just Swing (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffsbacked Kaleido Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.6
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Color (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.27
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Raccoons (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+196.4%+$589.07
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,855Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+59%+$1,095
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+150.7%+$903.97
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$24.88
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs INOX Division (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs NEW VISION (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Group Dbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+115.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dundee FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+330.5%+$6,610.81
Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$771.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$1,395
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.