Mls · resolved market
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x844a35ce7818d4b354f1c4b513536838f82fae0fc9ec538e732a5350334e42a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 71c | 4,977$3,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.65 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 4,547$3,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.06 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 29c | 4,538$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.26 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 29c | 3,962$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked No | 75c | 2,957$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.52 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,892$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.68 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 70c | 1,322$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.97 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 11c | 1,304$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9766…a41dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,295$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…24c6backed Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Yes | 29c | 899.99$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 71c | 819.12$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.54 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 797.56$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.96 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 8c | 759.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 710.1$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.83 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 648.73$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.37 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 13c | 583.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 8c | 531.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 18c | 496$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 10c | 396.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 9c | 395.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 8c | 359.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Yes | 29c | 344.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 343.7$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Yes | 29c | 342$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 29c | 310.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Yes | 9c | 273$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 21c | 265.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 15c | 258.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Yes | 29c | 229$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 7c | 229$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 71c | 216.86$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 18c | 208$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…00f1backed Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Yes | 29c | 206.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 10c | 178.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 14c | 177.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 14c | 158.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 9c | 148$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 142.65$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 127$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 112.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 110$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…c372backed Yes | 28c | 106.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…31fbbacked No | 72c | 97.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 28c | 92.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 13c | 82.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked No | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Yes | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Yes | 29c | 62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Yes | 30c | 59.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 73c | 54.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 48.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…8927backed Yes | 29c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed No | 71c | 41.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Yes | 29c | 35.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 71c | 20.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 72c | 18.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 73c | 18.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will St. Louis City SC vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?No won
- Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.