TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,906
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,906 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa36f…180bbacked No54c40,081$21,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,670.092948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Yes46c32,242$14,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,485.54148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Yes46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.991485.7%12 W · 2 L+5.6wins+0.40per pick46cpaid+88.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No40c8,328$3,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,345.91,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No56c7,483$4,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,190.26349.2%31 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes46c7,000$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7803658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes49c5,548$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,851.2771443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes44c5,242$2,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,935.6410358.3%60 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No54c4,383$2,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,366.6312654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes46c4,347$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.3821547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No48c4,044$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,936.199340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed No1c3,955$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0960%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No3c3,300$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked No2c3,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-78.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Yes45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3504751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9766…a41dbacked No34c1,933$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.72922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Yes43c1,839$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.9514657.5%84 W · 62 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes72c1,669$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.66339.7%25 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c1,512$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.911,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No54c1,260$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No34c1,078$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.221,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes17c991.55$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.058344.6%37 W · 46 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+40.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No53c927.33$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.191,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No75c908.6$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.2519172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c906.08$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49297146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No54c892.59$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48212951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No2c879.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.583324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No37c783.57$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.7117137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No55c772.82$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.9272850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No55c733.7$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9870249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No55c730$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.52050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked No54c723$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.135550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes78c651$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5915676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes44c566$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.962955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe77…ef6cbacked Yes45c550.5$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes46c543$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.2220043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes75c504.4$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.189357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes66c472.05$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8717244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No36c419$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8452639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No57c394.2$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.6973438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No30c384.68$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11687154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed No56c374.12$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.513844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No28c358$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.571,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No56c350$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.846546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes77c338.45$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5318774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No55c319$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.455154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No37c303.67$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0322946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No40c300$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12119847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No29c292.69$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.214757.4%27 W · 20 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+31.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No33c284.91$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0610840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No54c281$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.7455750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes46c274.05$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3553046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No41c256.24$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.55752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes54c254.84$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.382441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes43c248.98$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.923,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No55c245.58$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0768150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe75…5af2backed Yes62c240.51$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No55c231.32$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.239742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd072…95e8backed Yes40c218.89$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.33977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+78.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes18c218.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.495850%29 W · 29 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+73.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes70c218.39$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.417753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed No52c217.93$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.832437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No50c205.18$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1225652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7f…d002backed Yes47c191.11$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.65683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+83.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked No13c178$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.17038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No31c177.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2312346.3%57 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11ea…1676backed Yes46c152.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No55c149.64$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.699345.2%42 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes53c137.23$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.376352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No54c136$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0480358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes60c130$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes60c119$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.334346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed No44c115$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.131643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Yes45c106.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.37339.7%29 W · 44 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes65c97.17$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.017341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed Yes18c92.13$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.276636.4%24 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ad…cdfdbacked No28c88.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes46c87$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed No55c81.01$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.693040%12 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes45c79.2$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3117858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Yes64c78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.287367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No37c76.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6496756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No35c75.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4822042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed No42c74.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.072236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes55c67.65$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.394924.5%12 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes66c66.92$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8945140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…ab49backed Yes42c60.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.11944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb283…4501backed No44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.241414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-73%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed No56c58.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.932142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes62c54.31$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6430957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…efaebacked No64c53.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.292060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No57c50.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8379…3c91backed No38c48.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+44.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd32d…23b4backed Yes61c44.78$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+107.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed No27c44.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122634.6%9 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No55c44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.233346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Yes26c43.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3412551.2%64 W · 61 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.