TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe75…5af2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst UFC at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT10562.9%66 W · 39 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roehampton 2: Alec Deckers vs Luca Potenzabacked Alec Deckers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$115.89
ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Elena Milovanovic vs Lucija Ciric Bagaricbacked Lucija Ciric Bagaric · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Roehampton 2: Fabrizio Andaloro vs Emile Huddbacked Fabrizio Andaloro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.92
ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Haruka Kaji vs Amandine Hessebacked Haruka Kaji · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$39.86
Winston-Salem Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Francisco Comesanabacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.08
Monterrey Open: Janice Tjen vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$66.24
US Open, Qualification WTA: Dominika Salkova vs Akasha Urhobobacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+85%+$11.49
US Open, Qualification WTA: Caroline Dolehide vs Veronika Podrezbacked Veronika Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$151.07
US Open, Qualification WTA: Gabriela Knutson vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Gabriela Knutson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.26
Philadelphia: Talia Gibson vs Lizette Cabrerabacked Lizette Cabrera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$75.15
Monterrey Open: Camila Osorio vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+60%+$17.63
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Aklibacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$20.58
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harrisbacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
US Open, Qualification ATP: Guy Den Ouden vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$50.51
Philadelphia: Lois Boisson vs Capucine Jauffretbacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rinconbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$32.22
US Open, Qualification WTA: Madison Brengle vs Anastasia Gasanovabacked Madison Brengle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.41
US Open, Qualification WTA: Erika Andreeva vs Mariam Bolkvadzebacked Mariam Bolkvadze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
US Open, Qualification ATP: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.69
Philadelphia: Ella Seidel vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimovabacked Alevtina Ibragimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$139.24
Roehampton 2: Johannus Monday vs Iliyan Radulovbacked Johannus Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$85
ITF W35 Trieste Women: Amelie Justine Hejtmanek vs Barbora Michalkovabacked Amelie Justine Hejtmanek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.99
ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Nina Radovanovicbacked Nina Radovanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.28
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$91.2
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$155.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$118.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vicente Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.