La Liga · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x961a36eac5b80ae87695632db3e714fb6ef3e72307b58bd79d553854175f245a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,900,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,883,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,900,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 488 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x983e…6748backed No | 61c | 732,759$450,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282,621.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 39c | 660,488$254,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254,485.49 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7461backed Yes | 40c | 541,248$216,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216,499.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 60c | 384,416$230,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,766.38 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 61c | 99,584$60,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,875.98 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 60c | 81,000$48,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,400 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…6a68backed No | 60c | 68,165$40,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,478.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 50,644$25,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,769.95 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 39c | 40,006$15,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,464.25 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 39c | 33,550$13,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,084.5 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 30c | 31,729$9,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,105.19 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 39c | 23,014$8,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,975.46 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,199.93 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 60c | 19,840$11,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,936 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 59c | 19,410$11,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,434.91 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed No | 60c | 17,680$10,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,069.16 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 39c | 15,905$6,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,230.2 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 13,960$5,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,471.09 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 53c | 12,905$6,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,126.36 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 59c | 12,220$7,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,043.11 | 137 | 44.5%61 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…a7d6backed Yes | 75c | 12,202$9,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,151.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 40c | 10,625$4,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,280.59 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 39c | 9,180$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600.15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 53c | 8,780$4,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,106.86 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 41c | 8,228$3,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,393.59 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 39c | 8,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 42c | 7,532$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139.23 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 41c | 7,003$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.19 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…1eebbacked Yes | 79c | 6,488$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 62c | 6,452$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 49c | 6,255$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.94 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Yes | 42c | 5,895$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 30c | 5,041$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 43c | 5,004$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.96 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked Yes | 60c | 4,889$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…24c6backed Yes | 35c | 4,877$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…2a64backed Yes | 42c | 4,835$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed No | 52c | 4,268$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Yes | 12c | 4,231$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.89 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked No | 59c | 4,204$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yes | 71c | 4,100$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c51…1fc1backed No | 57c | 4,045$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…4ac2backed No | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Yes | 39c | 3,995$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 61c | 3,647$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.79 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 42c | 3,635$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 41c | 3,543$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.55 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked Yes | 39c | 3,448$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked No | 28c | 3,397$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +166.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…abb2backed Yes | 45c | 3,321$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 41c | 3,227$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.38 | 393 | 38.9%153 W · 240 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed No | 51c | 3,170$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 41c | 3,100$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 40c | 3,057$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.34 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…ffa7backed No | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 58c | 2,970$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.6 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Yes | 40c | 2,935$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.82 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 12c | 2,933$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 40c | 2,932$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.97 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…6da7backed Yes | 47c | 2,927$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked No | 55c | 2,804$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed Yes | 19c | 2,658$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Yes | 76c | 2,579$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac3…00b2backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 39c | 2,297$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.46 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2a…c582backed Yes | 40c | 2,200$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 37c | 2,109$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 39c | 2,097$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.49 | 476 | 53.8%256 W · 220 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 39c | 2,021$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.19 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 60c | 1,917$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 45c | 1,804$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.61 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 40c | 1,786$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.62 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 39c | 1,779$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.64 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 1,773$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.25 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,620$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.88 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 40c | 1,561$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.43 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Yes | 39c | 1,482$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 60c | 1,482$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.8 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…3f77backed No | 33c | 1,466$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Yes | 3c | 1,332$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 45c | 1,305$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.84 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd23a…d952backed No | 42c | 1,302$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 35c | 1,280$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 55c | 1,253$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.09 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 60c | 1,245$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.99 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 36c | 1,239$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.63 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 32c | 1,225$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.83 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…6561backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 39c | 1,195$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.81 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 43c | 1,195$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.67 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…5ff2backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…2e29backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 54c | 1,108$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…f06cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,102$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +208.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed Yes | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe053…fd08backed No | 79c | 1,058$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 59c | 1,056$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.44 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-20?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.