TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0570…465e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
240
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst WNBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.92
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.87
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$18.66
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.16
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$48.19
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.41
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astrosbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$25.96
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.48
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.09
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$48.09
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$53.19
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.12
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48.15
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$35.89
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$56.98
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.04
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$52
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.71
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$80.33
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,596Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,204.34
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.49
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.18
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,804Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$3,587.06
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,514Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,514
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,815Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$3,510.84
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,740Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$3,632.04
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,426Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$3,674.76
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.75
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,401.42
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,918Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,917.71
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,430Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$584.04
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$444
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,204.84
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$573.44
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,079Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$3,613.99
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$415
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,249.63
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,089.93
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,655Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,655.44
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,655Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,654.77
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,561Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,560.56
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,856Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,855.57
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$3,558.88
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,832.08
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,321.67
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,258.47
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,069Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,820.63
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,539Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$1,145.07
Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,360.67
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$976.36
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,110
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,489.79
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$496.67
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,252Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$2,273.08
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,016Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,717.18
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,460.3
Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,886Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$3,527.14
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,678Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$3,549.85
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,602Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,460.83
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,704Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$3,441.63
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-07-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.13
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,449Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$3,523.48
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,841Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$3,472.15
Will Racing Club win on 2026-07-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,344.71
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,905Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$3,410.64
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,387Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$3,434.93
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,331.73
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,950.14
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+134.5%+$181.01
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,691Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,690.99
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Edmen Shahbazyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.59
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Marcus McGhee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24.75
UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Jeisla Chaves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$14.15
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Deiveson Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.58
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alonzo Menifield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$262.08
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tallison Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.51
UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Yi Sak Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.91
UFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Haddon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$59.7
UFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Angela Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$100
UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Jaqueline Amorim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$108.35
UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Luis Gurule (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Luis Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.99
UFC Fight Night: Rodrigo Vera vs. Zhu Kangjie (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Rodrigo Vera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.04
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bernardo Sopaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$31.37
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jacqueline Cavalcanti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.93
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Andre Petroski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.43
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tommy Gantt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$22.11
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Luis Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$47.62
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Alice Ardelean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$24.51
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$23.73
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jeremy Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.58
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Grant Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$87.71
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jared Gordon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.13
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Marco Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.28
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Pat Sabatini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$28.98
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,511.02
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,553Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,171.32
Will PSV win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,240.68
Will NEC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,489.93
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,763Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,501.87
Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,173.41
Will FC København win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,352.78
Will Molde FK win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,482Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$3,572.38
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,921Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,080.98
Will SK Brann win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$482.39
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,841Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,841.24
Will Viborg FF win on 2026-07-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,276.84
Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-07-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,198.82
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,774Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,774.4
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,285.07
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,589.72
Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,856Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$3,093.96
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,266Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,821.91
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,426Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,425.61
Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,832Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,760.56
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,490.38
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,668Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,667.97
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,688
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,638Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,637.5
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,816.39
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,472.1
Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,236Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$3,465.87
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$209.09
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,409Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$3,613.75
Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,871Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,870.75
Will Elimai FK win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$426.39
Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,372.6
Will FC Malisheva win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$892
All 15 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Libertybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,331.03
New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,922.3
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,266.36
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$19.34
Toronto Tempo vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.77
PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.88
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Stormbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$49.12
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.35
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Stormbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.68
Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.36
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.16
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,833Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,333.51
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,421Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,326.03
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.1
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,569Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,568.58
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,319.33
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,851Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,850.7
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,220.32
Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,733Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$3,622.84
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$3,620.74
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,390Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$3,899.14
All 11 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.97
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$24.5
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.87
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$54.44
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.16
All 5 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$61.26
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$122.26
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.99
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.74
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,815.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,426Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,426.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.