MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3ca9b1b7e8f1ce4b0423d30a5d4879a4d3beb3a45e114d7a9e5f2c43e401fc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Kansas City Royals, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $598,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $615,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $598,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 350,833$146,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204,131.45 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 79,013$45,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,775.68 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 70,000$40,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,600 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 27,612$16,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,015.24 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 25,458$14,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,912.9 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 17,892$9,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,651.16 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 13,756$7,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,978.48 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 12,524$7,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,514.6 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 12,334$6,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,436.18 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 12,133$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 11,568$6,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,709.44 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…1997backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…e639backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 8,682$5,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,122.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 8,500$4,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,675 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 8,305$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 7,777$4,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,510.66 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 6,773$3,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,871.83 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 5,842$3,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,393.34 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 5,300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 5,100$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.33 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 4,583$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.85 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 4,500$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 4,200$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.26 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 4,161$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.04 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 3,544$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.82 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 2,986$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.73 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 2,968$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.33 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 2,872$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.76 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 3c | 2,663$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 2,444$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.5 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 2,415$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.7 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 2,374$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.87 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 2,371$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.01 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 2,339$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.07 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 2,048$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.62 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 2,002$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.3 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.98 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 1,830$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,592$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.89 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,588$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.24 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,500$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.76 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aee…c455backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 1,427$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.94 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 1,423$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.52 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff3…b0ecbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,380$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 1,250$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 1,243$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.37 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,200$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.8 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,163$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.77 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc7…2a87backed Cincinnati Reds | 9c | 1,117$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,081$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.85 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 1,013$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.4 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 999.88$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.93 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 991.46$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.61 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 984.3$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.92 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 948.27$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 887.91$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.2 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 877$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.89 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 875.57$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.07 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 843.25$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.3 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 840.27$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.73 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 800$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1788…aa80backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 790.32$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.32 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 778$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.02 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 687.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 659.96$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.38 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 650$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 640.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 633.6$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.35 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 599$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.41 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 596.49$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 137 | 59.1%81 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 582$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.56 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 66c | 576.4$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.88 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 570.2$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.36 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 518.86$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cincinnati Reds | 8c | 500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 480.48$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.68 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 480$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.75 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 476.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 473.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.65 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 464.17$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.67 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.