MLB · resolved market

Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7b659ce4b787e8d4ee13aa320bd7e2f87a7849a88212c7e095fa1e87b7286f6

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $50,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $52,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,625 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb91a…3987backed Over	55c	25,679$14,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,123.54	135	61.5%83 W · 52 L	+15.2wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	50c	15,721$7,912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,808.66	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	45c	8,117$3,653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,464.48	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	49c	7,664$3,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,773.23	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	45c	6,714$3,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,692.61	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	45c	1,567$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$861.82	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	45c	1,560$702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$858	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0f…b9d0backed Under	74c	1,426$1,055 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.74	102	39.2%40 W · 62 L	-6.7wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over	55c	1,331$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$732.14	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	45c	1,000$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Under	45c	1,000$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	82	56.1%46 W · 36 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under	45c	1,000$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	672	50.1%337 W · 335 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	45c	1,000$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	55c	1,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	51c	667.69$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.16	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over	50c	634.25$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.83	726	55.4%402 W · 324 L	+40.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37b9…b244backed Under	79c	632.91$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.91	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over	68c	547.85$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.06	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over	46c	508.23$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.79	912	52.4%478 W · 434 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	53c	445.06$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.35	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over	56c	407.64$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.28	92	58.7%54 W · 38 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Under	79c	400$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	173	54.9%95 W · 78 L	-14.0wins	-0.08per pick	63cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6188…0a91backed Under	54c	389.42$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.31	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	53cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Over	55c	363.64$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	398	46.5%185 W · 213 L	-16.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	45c	285$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.79	750	49.7%373 W · 377 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over	49c	282.49$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.6	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under	49c	266.5$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.58	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Over	56c	257.38$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.13	127	52.8%67 W · 60 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Over	41c	237.32$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.3	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed Over	55c	230$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.5	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over	56c	200$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	268	60.4%162 W · 106 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8fd…3e24backed Over	57c	200$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	110	47.3%52 W · 58 L	-8.5wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over	55c	200$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	1,001	48.3%483 W · 518 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf93…5d2abacked Over	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+3.2wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-3.8wins	-0.27per pick	49cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Over	56c	160.71$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	230	51.7%119 W · 111 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72db…abc9backed Over	56c	160.64$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.34	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+4.2wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+36%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Under	28c	142.5$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.5	518	49.4%256 W · 262 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78ac…866cbacked Over	33c	141.15$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	39c	139.26$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.24	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	33c	123.95$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.12	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under	44c	119.73$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.05	1,056	48.3%510 W · 546 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	45c	118.18$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under	45c	110.6$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.83	997	44.1%440 W · 557 L	-38.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	44c	109.57$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.56	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	46c	109.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.49	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2208…53eebacked Over	56c	107.14$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over	50c	106.08$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.04	701	54.2%380 W · 321 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under	41c	102$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.48	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x639f…c014backed Over	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Over	55c	90$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under	45c	89.98$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.49	674	44.1%297 W · 377 L	+27.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over	56c	89.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	162	51.9%84 W · 78 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Over	56c	88.48$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.55	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	56c	85.89$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.1	979	44.4%435 W · 544 L	-22.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	44c	84$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.04	1,843	43.6%804 W · 1,039 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	43c	83$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.1	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3894…decfbacked Over	53c	74.06$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.25	375	51.2%192 W · 183 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under	46c	71.74$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.74	412	49.5%204 W · 208 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d53…e7aabacked Over	56c	71.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	108	53.7%58 W · 50 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x873a…160bbacked Under	45c	66.67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.67	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over	55c	64.78$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.36	556	43.9%244 W · 312 L	-38.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under	66c	60.61$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.61	174	62.6%109 W · 65 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e82…7ab7backed Over	55c	54.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15cc…bfaabacked Over	56c	53.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed Over	56c	53.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	158	57.6%91 W · 67 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	32c	50.35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.22	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f24…cc38backed Under	57c	47.84$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.57	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over	55c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	890	53.1%473 W · 417 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over	56c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	394	40.9%161 W · 233 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under	45c	39.99$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.99	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under	45c	39.09$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	1,445	50.3%727 W · 718 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	51c	38.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.82	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x000a…6cf7backed Over	50c	37.56$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.78	252	60.7%153 W · 99 L	+17.1wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	45c	36.37$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd687…a024backed Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	60	63.3%38 W · 22 L	+6.5wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over	56c	35.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.57	597	49.9%298 W · 299 L	+19.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40c3…7f0fbacked Over	56c	34.64$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over	52c	34.62$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	313	43.5%136 W · 177 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Over	56c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	381	42%160 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over	53c	28.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.18	1,042	49.4%515 W · 527 L	+13.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef0…25b2backed Over	56c	26.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Over	56c	26.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	217	51.6%112 W · 105 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e9…03a5backed Over	56c	26.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.1wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd7db…10aebacked Over	56c	25.36$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb57b…6783backed Under	59c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.25	33	63.6%21 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1171…16cfbacked Over	55c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Over	49c	24.97$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	242	43%104 W · 138 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ed66backed Over	62c	24.19$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over	56c	24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.44	781	55.6%434 W · 347 L	+28.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over	50c	23.74$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.87	2,223	55.4%1,231 W · 992 L	+73.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a8…9c50backed Over	52c	22.12$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-6.0wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Under	54c	21.78$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.02	830	53%440 W · 390 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	54c	21.71$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.93	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over	57c	20.28$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.56	1,001	57.3%574 W · 427 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed Over	56c	19.84$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	151	59.6%90 W · 61 L	+10.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31a0…5911backed Over	56c	18.78$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.52	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Over	55c	18.34$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.09	107	59.8%64 W · 43 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5this page
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati RedsKansas City Royals won
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Over won
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event