TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd687…a024

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
172
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT6063.3%38 W · 22 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.15
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.29
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.43
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.06
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.11
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$13.82
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mexico vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$26.22
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.81
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.86
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.72
Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.22
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+166.4%+$88.19
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.68
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+31.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$22.22
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.18
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.33
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$33.64
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+196.5%+$32.83
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.29
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.2
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$18
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$19.81
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$36.86
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$15.75
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$66.55
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.81
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.72
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.18
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11.86
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.64
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.39
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27.16
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.97
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$49.02
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.94
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.16
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$17.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$16.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.