Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc906c2ed8ae1b3189c46227b418003844fcfbb3cc1e7d4dc1006a1229d2fdc61

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,665,723
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,668,831

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,665,723 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked No	54c	305,901$166,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139,790.87	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Yes	45c	181,249$81,562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81,562.24	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+3.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed No	53c	171,037$90,843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80,193.93	160	40.6%65 W · 95 L	-12.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes	45c	156,773$70,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70,547.81	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes	44c	112,349$49,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,433.77	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…f402backed No	56c	100,000$56,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,999.91	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.20per pick	51cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed No	56c	98,235$54,648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,586.71	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes	39c	73,827$28,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,597.17	812	34.7%282 W · 530 L	-24.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes	46c	56,522$26,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,000	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes	45c	47,015$21,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,156.58	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-2.8wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	55c	45,458$24,810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,647.34	2,530	47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L	+43.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked No	51c	41,000$20,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,090	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2e9…1644backed Yes	44c	31,782$13,984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,983.87	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No	55c	23,636$13,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,636.36	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	48c	22,317$10,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,789.59	192	39.1%75 W · 117 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes	31c	19,512$6,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,048.63	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes	45c	18,310$8,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,166.27	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+27.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No	55c	18,000$9,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,100	133	48.9%65 W · 68 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes	49c	16,357$7,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,999.48	1,179	50%590 W · 589 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes	49c	16,141$7,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,975	136	30.9%42 W · 94 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes	19c	15,534$2,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,949.64	263	19.8%52 W · 211 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No	55c	15,374$8,456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,918.26	74	50%37 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	55c	14,127$7,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,357.28	356	52.8%188 W · 168 L	+15.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No	55c	13,681$7,570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,110.75	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes	44c	13,005$5,761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,761.22	755	42.3%319 W · 436 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes	44c	12,500$5,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,500	133	53.4%71 W · 62 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes	50c	10,758$5,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,373.85	50	38%19 W · 31 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,900	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-5.7wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Yes	46c	9,325$4,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,289.33	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes	41c	9,304$3,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,826.94	201	40.8%82 W · 119 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No	55c	9,058$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,058.44	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No	68c	8,523$5,795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,727.68	22	77.3%17 W · 5 L	+4.6wins	+0.21per pick	56cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes	34c	8,295$2,845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,845.02	119	42%50 W · 69 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Yes	49c	8,000$3,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,920	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes	46c	8,000$3,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,700	255	44.7%114 W · 141 L	-12.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked No	67c	7,441$4,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,455.42	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No	55c	6,727$3,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,027.27	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes	45c	6,594$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes	45c	6,477$2,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,911.54	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	67c	6,469$4,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,162.52	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	109	51.4%56 W · 53 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No	55c	6,000$3,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,709.98	409	53.3%218 W · 191 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes	50c	5,500$2,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,750	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+4.2wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc788…8545backed Yes	53c	5,485$2,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,898.88	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc294…570ebacked Yes	46c	5,435$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes	45c	5,411$2,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,435	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68d0…b4dabacked Yes	46c	5,168$2,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,376.93	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-3.3wins	-0.23per pick	30cpaid	-86%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No	55c	5,000$2,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,250	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No	57c	5,000$2,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,150	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes	50c	4,979$2,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,489.43	176	34.1%60 W · 116 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	51c	4,813$2,443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,369.23	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No	55c	4,800$2,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,160	79	59.5%47 W · 32 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes	15c	4,715$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.41	100	53%53 W · 47 L	+8.4wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes	45c	4,648$2,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,108.17	845	49%414 W · 431 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No	49c	4,619$2,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,335.66	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No	66c	4,524$2,986 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,538.02	166	51.2%85 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No	51c	4,444$2,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,177.56	321	58.9%189 W · 132 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes	47c	4,280$1,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.38	129	49.6%64 W · 65 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x278c…9817backed Yes	45c	4,188$1,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,884.68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe45…1116backed Yes	50c	4,100$2,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,050	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed Yes	45c	4,092$1,842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,841.6	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes	38c	4,010$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,520.46	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Yes	38c	3,982$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No	51c	3,921$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,921.49	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes	46c	3,913$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	108	48.1%52 W · 56 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No	55c	3,900$2,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,755	93	47.3%44 W · 49 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Yes	47c	3,637$1,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,709.61	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	61cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed No	55c	3,636$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,636.36	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes	14c	3,631$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.01	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3fa…af3abacked Yes	45c	3,587$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed No	59c	3,365$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,364.92	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No	52c	3,306$1,726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,580.34	107	65.4%70 W · 37 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes	43c	3,271$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	65	26.2%17 W · 48 L	-6.1wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No	55c	3,200$1,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,440	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No	48c	2,946$1,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,531.81	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	34c	2,895$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.13	382	33.2%127 W · 255 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes	35c	2,824$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.45	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+4.7wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes	48c	2,807$1,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,348.13	220	49.1%108 W · 112 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked No	54c	2,779$1,501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,278.33	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9948…47e7backed Yes	44c	2,742$1,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,206.53	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes	49c	2,714$1,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,330	495	44.2%219 W · 276 L	-20.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No	54c	2,704$1,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,243.22	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x555b…c93dbacked Yes	38c	2,653$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-4.1wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-45%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x55e1…c25cbacked Yes	38c	2,632$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No	69c	2,561$1,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$791.3	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No	63c	2,486$1,567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$919.52	533	44.8%239 W · 294 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No	55c	2,400$1,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab2…a2b7backed Yes	46c	2,341$1,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,077	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes	45c	2,334$1,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,042.8	1,161	57.4%666 W · 495 L	+40.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes	43c	2,276$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978.68	37	64.9%24 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	46c	2,275$1,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,046.5	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3aba…74c0backed Yes	46c	2,269$1,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,052.5	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+3.1wins	+0.22per pick	56cpaid	+38%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xccd9…e5fcbacked Yes	48c	2,246$1,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,078	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes	45c	2,222$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes	39c	2,133$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes	31c	2,102$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.9	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes	34c	2,083$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-5.0wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes	15c	2,080$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.5	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?this page
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?Yes won
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event