Premier League · resolved market
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9901d7854c92f6ac70b3b5d7290d9277e1cd856b6fd8e1d3baa2688601daf2ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes | 27c | 104,575$28,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,300.16 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 73c | 37,800$27,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,206 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 73c | 32,171$23,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,686.17 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 31,204$23,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,128.89 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 28c | 25,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked No | 73c | 20,637$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,636.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked No | 72c | 13,877$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,876.62 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed No | 72c | 12,000$8,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 6,200$4,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 73c | 5,679$4,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.34 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c31…23cbbacked No | 73c | 5,589$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a8…45b3backed Yes | 24c | 5,417$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 18c | 5,041$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.35 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8757…d9d2backed Yes | 24c | 4,698$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 4,379$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.83 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 21c | 4,243$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 72c | 4,211$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.21 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked No | 72c | 4,167$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 76c | 4,139$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.44 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 3,810$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.87 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 26c | 3,282$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.64 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 3,150$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 3,112$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.32 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 28c | 2,445$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.52 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 37c | 2,389$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 23c | 2,262$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.1 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Yes | 33c | 2,210$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.28 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 2,122$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.85 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 26c | 2,118$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.15 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 74c | 2,093$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.08 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,054$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.51 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 1,983$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.81 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab0…3e95backed No | 76c | 1,822$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…a72abacked No | 76c | 1,801$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c15…e41bbacked No | 76c | 1,793$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…0880backed No | 76c | 1,726$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e9…1f9ebacked No | 76c | 1,646$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 72c | 1,601$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Yes | 19c | 1,580$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -9.5wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 78c | 1,566$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.76 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb3…0834backed Yes | 33c | 1,516$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 26c | 1,501$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.33 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd9…e5fcbacked No | 74c | 1,457$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 1,453$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.84 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 76c | 1,447$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.37 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 66c | 1,435$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.85 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ea…9002backed No | 76c | 1,325$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed No | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 23c | 1,304$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.12 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 73c | 1,140$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.58 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…a5efbacked Yes | 1c | 1,131$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,117$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.08 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 68c | 1,114$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.06 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x654a…cc32backed Yes | 19c | 1,065$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 23c | 1,036$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.28 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 25c | 1,036$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.9 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed No | 74c | 999.98$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 29c | 965.52$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Yes | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -61%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 75c | 850.72$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.68 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 72c | 847.33$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.16 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 28c | 840$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Yes | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 28c | 792.86$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 22c | 777$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.53 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 76c | 770.85$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 23c | 757.9$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.32 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 694.56$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…1cd1backed Yes | 28c | 642.86$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed Yes | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 19c | 598.51$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Yes | 29c | 589.66$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…0d0bbacked No | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 69c | 562.58$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.58 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…7f6cbacked Yes | 23c | 541.43$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 27c | 518.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 501.18$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…d367backed No | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 23c | 485.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.22 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 73c | 446.5$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.55 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 24c | 433.93$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 6c | 414.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 26c | 402.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed No | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…8687backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…1619backed No | 72c | 399.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 74c | 393$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 28c | 390$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 23c | 387.45$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed Yes | 34c | 374.26$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.