TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb1db…1619

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
161
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10228.4%29 W · 73 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.8
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$419.04
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$433.5
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$147.5
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.09
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.35
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.3
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$210
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.33
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$2,025
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$405
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+446.1%+$65.35
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.11
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$703
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.88
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$543.69
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.71
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$46.2
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.64
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 4ikibamboni (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.48
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+29%+$18.09
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Enjoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.99
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$222
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$144.96
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$132
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-57.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$353.98
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$606.78
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$112
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+63.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-72.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.28
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$42.5
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$212.98
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+222.3%+$613.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+119.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$395.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.26
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: OXEN vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonbacked KRÜ Blaze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.