TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$829,733
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$856,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $829,733 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c171,572$76,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,308.364,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over67c93,454$62,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,170.612,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over68c43,150$29,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,769.2377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under37c37,545$13,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,976.012,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under42c32,811$13,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,688.3736235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under31c30,244$9,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,394.5844130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4543…72d1backed Over45c29,999$13,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,534.251758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over33c19,685$6,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,185.961,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Over79c18,378$14,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,826.745543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over55c14,000$7,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,339.9729633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c13,588$7,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,644.653,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under74c11,155$8,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,252.1514232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under60c10,944$6,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,547.5417642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa87d…e4bfbacked Under11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1004223.8%10 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid+86%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under10c9,379$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.7930626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under39c9,155$3,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,547.4564446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe97…6347backed Over71c8,547$6,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,484.4212958.1%75 W · 54 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under44c7,718$3,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.262,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under19c6,254$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.714,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over40c6,250$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7507823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over48c5,950$2,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,121.9937944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under10c5,224$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.412,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under24c5,190$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.320731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over29c5,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,55074752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a1…569cbacked Under11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55011245.5%51 W · 61 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Under9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45011654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Over65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.9910471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Under10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.985930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over34c5,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,279.7822643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under10c4,197$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.7370244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under3c4,167$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3427931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Under11c4,050$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.59150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0008052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under67c3,801$2,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.7937650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under1c3,750$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over58c3,440$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.815141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over55c3,333$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.8231545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over55c3,100$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.947364.4%47 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c2,892$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.482,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Over35c2,857$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.148944.9%40 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under51c2,834$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.0438333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under15c2,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40023440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under9c2,576$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.561,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over66c2,568$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.38,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under62c2,476$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.7919649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Under4c2,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009146.2%42 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under49c2,323$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13919744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over71c2,239$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.6225339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Over74c2,230$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.77955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under9c2,150$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over74c2,050$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53346546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under51c1,904$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.5620150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over32c1,875$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2756947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under10c1,776$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.731,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over51c1,673$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.0428258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over28c1,673$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.9827032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under6c1,622$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.531,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over50c1,598$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79928526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Over66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1518435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under4c1,493$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.381,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under33c1,486$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.4425942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over42c1,429$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.5621641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over67c1,386$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.4636250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over75c1,317$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.3416750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over54c1,296$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.327655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over60c1,236$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.1363544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de4…a68fbacked Over58c1,200$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5046848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Under42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019957.3%114 W · 85 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe34a…f5f0backed Over76c1,187$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.389848%47 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39c5…22f7backed Under10c1,136$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.583228.1%9 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacc…78c8backed Over77c1,116$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over63c1,093$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.212,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over50c1,059$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.22,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over24c1,040$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.1837451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x868b…2106backed Over50c1,002$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50220626.2%54 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4806533.8%22 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24023427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4606555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd925…f36fbacked Under47c1,000$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4654957.1%28 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Over46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54021429.4%63 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f9…b9c5backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51010147.5%48 W · 53 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Under10c1,000$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10324136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under6c997.95$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8519946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under63c924.32$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.9433740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under44c909.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ed…3363backed Under11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004422.7%10 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Under33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013837.7%52 W · 86 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e20…a1aabacked Over77c889.67$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.672792.6%25 W · 2 L+6.2wins+0.23per pick70cpaid+56.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6999…ae54backed Over56c885.71$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.7124540.8%100 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over52c880$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.435036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under3c866.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.81,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.