Fifa International · resolved market
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39a350f4dd8ec5b75e141c578fb2161ee6bbd5baa9c73d99b16ebbad50e7bb20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 6,385$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.98 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 743.68$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.21 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 53c | 503.54$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.36 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 51c | 463.25$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 402.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.55 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 365.87$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.14 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 46c | 306.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.77 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 304.4$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 52c | 215.31$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.96 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 49c | 200.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 130.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 52c | 113.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Over | 48c | 102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 48c | 99.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 52c | 94.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…5f11backed Over | 49c | 90.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 48c | 84.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 48c | 61.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 50c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 48c | 54.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 54c | 53.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 47c | 45.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ff…479fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…6e47backed Over | 50c | 39.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55da…74efbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…17e6backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Over | 43c | 36.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 52c | 35.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed Under | 48c | 35.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 276 | 63%174 W · 102 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Under | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 238 | 66.8%159 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad6…eed6backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 229 | 57.6%132 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…4b5bbacked Under | 47c | 29.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Under | 47c | 28.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 4.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 5.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 6.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 7.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 8.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceCanada won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-4.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-5.5)South Africa won
- Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.