TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$367,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$398,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $367,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over1c37,558$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.5844539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dde…24ecbacked Over0c27,880$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8810242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c15,855$10,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,529.574,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c13,491$5,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,784.923,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under71c11,619$8,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,365.8324533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Under55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5006152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over1c9,312$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8434731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Over3c8,000$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.019323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under52c7,680$3,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,718.3841331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over29c5,555$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.049742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over7c5,147$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.7625125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under35c5,038$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,252.720053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over13c3,199$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41522932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over14c2,983$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.042,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over64c2,737$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.541,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over62c2,663$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.2221333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d66…6c79backed Under37c2,649$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.894136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over52c2,636$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37731435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over27c2,613$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.3346939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over63c2,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57522943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over40c2,394$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.882,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over14c2,303$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.4228229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over43c2,203$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.6413542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Under36c2,100$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,34413837.7%52 W · 86 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c2,068$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.14,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over20c2,044$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41128526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under50c2,016$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.9743737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Over1c2,004$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0619944.7%89 W · 110 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under69c1,890$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.5551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over55c1,662$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.435244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Over64c1,622$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.075930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under53c1,561$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.619649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under57c1,530$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.2336235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over64c1,491$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.042,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Under46c1,488$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.7914856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Over7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019957.3%114 W · 85 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over10c1,347$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3658642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over66c1,267$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.9628258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under36c1,250$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.53,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under36c1,250$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.233,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under57c1,160$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.452,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Under61c1,138$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.3612846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over18c1,062$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.781,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1f…fc37backed Over39c1,018$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400100%0 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed Under46c1,016$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.898758.6%51 W · 36 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under49c1,015$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.7613234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f2…ca6abacked Over30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67061752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over63c952.38$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006836.8%25 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over56c899.91$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.957639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Over56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Over20c859.79$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.3112528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under36c849.57$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.7324058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under36c833.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.3311826.3%31 W · 87 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over12c801.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over63c793.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Under76c793.62$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18925339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over5c762.82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0937242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ec…f538backed Under35c737.14$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.145137.3%19 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe30c…9499backed Over54c735.8$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under70c731.8$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3529740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over30c718.37$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.662,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa451…449ebacked Over7c692.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over25c671.81$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.384,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over31c642.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over22c641.04$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0336234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over63c634.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Under46c624.79$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.3510340.8%42 W · 61 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over19c584.09$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.972,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over65c581$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.6570244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over18c571.21$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.926728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under53c546.95$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.651,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over17c544.6$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5317827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf3…b7b5backed Under37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.542254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over24c527.1$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1317534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over65c512$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.81,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb297…426fbacked Over63c511.93$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-74.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under76c509.71$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.626647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31024247.1%114 W · 128 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x411d…a0b1backed Over52c469.23$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2448043.8%35 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Over61c459.02$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28019553.3%104 W · 91 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over32c425.44$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1414542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under34c422.37$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.762,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0cf…0e7cbacked Over12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over12c407.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6245145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under72c402.78$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7822355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23ee…15cbbacked Under38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2487335.6%26 W · 47 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c385.61$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.278,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26db…ba92backed Under36c382.74$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.954055%22 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1544…b5f0backed Over52c361.31$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.881764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa1…43a7backed Over63c353.22$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.53875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over6c327.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0927032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd298…bc1cbacked Under51c326.61$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.042075%15 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over25c322.46$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.721,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec3c…528ebacked Under47c321.49$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.498336.1%30 W · 53 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.