TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,465

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,320 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc41e…e2e9backed Over0c5,533$26 inLost-$25.8362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick1cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca3…2d23backed Over5c3,964$193 inLost-$193.46277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over4c1,902$78 inLost-$77.552,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over5c1,196$62 inLost-$61.642,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over6c832.68$49 inLost-$49.4119713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over4c725.51$29 inLost-$29.022,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Over4c453.13$18 inLost-$17.8224541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over5c400$21 inLost-$20.843819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Over4c385$17 inLost-$16.65224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over4c300$11 inLost-$11.44,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.