Fifa International · resolved market
South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x547f2889aee05a61f4f4ccb81e3f86b46bbd03fa72ddb53d2ccbdf52882bea43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 6,455$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.89 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 73c | 6,200$4,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.12 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 28c | 2,344$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.36 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 72c | 1,250$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.63 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 72c | 1,023$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.57 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…9499backed Over | 61c | 982.65$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Under | 71c | 927.03$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.07 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Under | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Over | 29c | 500$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under | 72c | 358.33$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Under | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 27c | 259.85$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 26c | 256$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…b876backed Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…3d44backed Under | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 138 | 13%18 W · 120 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 27c | 186.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Over | 26c | 174.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 72c | 167.93$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 71c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 18c | 102.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 21c | 91.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 27c | 80.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…0c9bbacked Under | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 70c | 67.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Over | 30c | 52.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 72c | 48.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Under | 70c | 47.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 509 | 50.7%258 W · 251 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Over | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 238 | 66.8%159 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 28c | 35.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Over | 30c | 34.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 248 | 43.1%107 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Under | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 72c | 19.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 73c | 18.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 72c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 72c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 4.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 5.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 6.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 7.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 8.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceCanada won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-4.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-5.5)South Africa won
- Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.