TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,680
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,584

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,680 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c50,193$24,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,333.994,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Under46c40,000$18,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,599.928943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over57c18,500$10,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,612.1923942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Over57c16,015$9,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,128.552642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under43c12,500$5,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,12521937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b7…4108backed Under44c9,500$4,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3203762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under45c8,700$3,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,787.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over4c6,581$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.273,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under44c6,500$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,654.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Over9c5,807$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005060%30 W · 20 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+45.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c5,751$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,248.772,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,85074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over57c4,632$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.962,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x933f…1540backed Under68c4,131$2,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.143158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Under41c2,423$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.5715843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over17c2,406$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.0441331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over18c2,387$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.292,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under55c1,965$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.734,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under45c1,859$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.474,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under46c1,604$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.3628025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under46c1,477$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.4161750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Under46c1,374$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.9623729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over54c1,298$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.081,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c1,250$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.143,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under44c1,250$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.353,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over29c1,197$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.581,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under44c1,119$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.5216546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Under44c1,100$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61619250%96 W · 96 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7544…ea2dbacked Over9c1,092$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2511634.5%40 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb014…4969backed Over55c1,091$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60013953.2%74 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under45c1,052$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.5622752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Under46c1,051$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.276445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c1,039$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.558,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54021957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.999463.8%60 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under44c999.96$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.9870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under43c982.93$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.081,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Under45c980$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53919750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed Over56c893.04$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023224.1%56 W · 176 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34ab…840ebacked Over57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over54c871.74$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.011,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under62c783.06$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.472,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c727.21$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.012,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Under70c719.11$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.115360.4%32 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over57c708$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.5670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17b0…be50backed Over57c667.05$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Under70c619.01$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.392965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over34c602.19$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.622,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d47…64eebacked Over58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3483046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb38a…3293backed Over17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28520638.8%80 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23545445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Under43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28512846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under44c499.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28037754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under45c444.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.447548%36 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under50c438.84$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.461,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed Under78c420.51$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.514463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under45c407.44$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1736250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23645038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under44c360.08$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.363,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under68c349.61$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0121937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under62c324.19$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1916753.9%90 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Under42c309.52$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.5215440.3%62 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over60c305.76$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5837237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Over5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156765.7%44 W · 23 L+12.4wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+39.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over54c299.98$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Over57c295.08$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.217659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked Under43c283.72$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.726833.8%23 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over30c282$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.781,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f0…0b5dbacked Under77c271.86$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.661080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd996…ce40backed Over56c269.64$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over56c261.13$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1465356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under44c255.81$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2561752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over54c243.87$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0742853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over26c224$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7382537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa09b…db3dbacked Under45c222.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.915738.6%22 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2210153.5%54 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x841a…61adbacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3314746.9%69 W · 78 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x207e…7683backed Under47c207.38$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.922060%12 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+51.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4eb3…da0ebacked Over55c200.87$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.481010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11816655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a18…99c9backed Under46c195.65$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.656445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over30c165.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.162,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under43c163$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.11,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Under47c159.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.57922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-47.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over41c146.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under46c141$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.142,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under43c140$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.81,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under43c139.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.091,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over30c133.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.622,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Over26c132.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6524540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over29c122.65$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.481,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over55c120.65$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.711,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cf7…1958backed Under42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0521247.2%100 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4d…4db8backed Over59c116.44$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.71442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x786c…dd20backed Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3810843.5%47 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ca…2443backed Under46c101.64$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8935041.1%144 W · 206 L+1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over25c100.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.632,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.