TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$923,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$913,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $923,792 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 605 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c195,152$96,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,283.484,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over68c91,600$62,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,288.164178%32 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over20c53,287$10,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,537.363,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over63c47,003$29,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,388.3877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over18c37,187$6,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,654.891,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over70c33,512$23,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,458.1815552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under37c31,632$11,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,928.4142541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under38c26,209$10,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,192.6729740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over70c25,355$17,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,722.362,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over69c24,828$17,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,182.951,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under55c20,763$11,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,369.152,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4543…72d1backed Over69c15,000$10,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,3501758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over16c14,071$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188.9764446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under38c10,072$3,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,273.5421333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked Under58c9,883$5,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,150.953050%15 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over9c9,792$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.648723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over7c9,588$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.6351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under30c8,524$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,987.3510744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2a0…7e90backed Over5c8,443$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.448037.5%30 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under31c7,550$2,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,209.570244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under78c7,508$5,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.798,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Over10c7,283$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.5117642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over69c7,246$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed Under63c6,479$4,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,410.182969%20 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over72c6,463$4,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,653.362,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Under30c6,292$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,404.4110840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over49c6,120$3,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,018.3731435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over70c5,714$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0008672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over6c5,671$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.5544539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under29c5,581$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,943.11,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over15c5,330$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.514433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Over72c5,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60010059%59 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under30c4,578$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,186.851,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over29c4,299$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.8437944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over31c4,119$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.8723857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Over58c4,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.994949%24 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under30c4,000$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,809.9330626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under49c3,878$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.7438734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under33c3,799$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.3316357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf617…80c9backed Under29c3,448$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,448.28650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over16c3,355$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.816930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over19c3,333$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.572,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d5e…0d8fbacked Over63c3,264$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,047.843718.9%7 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-50.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over62c3,200$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98437754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over4c3,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.9847643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Over71c2,924$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.762835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under47c2,908$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.1531545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over13c2,870$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.482,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over14c2,667$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.3924533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over69c2,476$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.521,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62bc…5053backed Over42c2,300$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.520149.3%99 W · 102 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over13c2,279$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.6734924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under39c2,273$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.6419744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over11c2,269$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5521641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over42c2,138$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89828526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89f9…b9c5backed Over30c2,121$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.610147.5%48 W · 53 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99db…97eabacked Over60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+38%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Under38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2409821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Under30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40010518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under30c1,986$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.732,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over12c1,957$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.283,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over5c1,947$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5616325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under58c1,858$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.5733740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over66c1,804$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.1928258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over38c1,791$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.911,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under70c1,757$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.364,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under29c1,724$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.042,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f2…ca6abacked Over41c1,666$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.426749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over70c1,661$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16310949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8b5…280cbacked Over12c1,601$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008135.8%29 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over44c1,598$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under30c1,564$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.821,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe34a…f5f0backed Over9c1,547$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.239848%47 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over72c1,520$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.1133544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under28c1,500$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08031851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49d9…d6c1backed Over28c1,480$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.434544.1%152 W · 193 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over5c1,460$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7337242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29df…f3d2backed Over72c1,457$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.352075%15 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c1,449$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.762,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over70c1,429$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d76…11aebacked Over70c1,429$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e8…0153backed Over70c1,429$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under75c1,389$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.352,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under61c1,340$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.722,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under77c1,316$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.882,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d3…9364backed Under31c1,290$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.3211934.5%41 W · 78 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over70c1,290$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90310261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over70c1,257$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88016750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under30c1,250$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.663,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under30c1,250$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.933,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over12c1,241$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.081,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over42c1,195$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.872958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over11c1,169$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8122933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under31c1,161$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.931,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1f…fc37backed Over26c1,139$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300100%0 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Over49c1,130$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.2728251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.