TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Canada (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
South Africaof Canada, South Africa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$287,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$387,963

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,495 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Canada3c43,618$1,405 inLost-$1,404.832,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Canada2c12,147$281 inLost-$280.893,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Canada3c4,732$142 inLost-$141.963,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Canada5c4,242$211 inLost-$211.278235.4%29 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5daa…b7a9backed Canada4c3,891$160 inLost-$160128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Canada5c3,299$158 inLost-$158.3318626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Canada3c1,000$30 inLost-$3014235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b04…f6bbbacked Canada1c923.08$12 inLost-$12229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-63.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5ca…219bbacked Canada4c766.9$32 inLost-$32.215219.2%10 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Canada3c703.43$24 inLost-$24.011,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Canada4c602$23 inLost-$22.8817919%34 W · 145 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Canada5c600$28 inLost-$27.8852455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26bc…70a3backed Canada4c567.69$22 inLost-$22.142810.7%3 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-76.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Canada3c399.11$12 inLost-$11.9795739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Canada3c341$10 inLost-$10.231,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a54…eb40backed Canada3c333.03$11 inLost-$10.99850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+116%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Canada4c305.33$12 inLost-$12.212,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a0…d88fbacked Canada5c280$14 inLost-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.