South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc32510182f6b5c7c6bd52867d0563905115ed246fb901e96eba67e0ac21d72c0

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $46,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $53,441

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,798 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe6fa…aeecbacked Over	8c	3,596$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.42	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	73c	3,000$2,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$809.99	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under	72c	2,504$1,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700.5	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over	18c	1,944$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	352	44%155 W · 197 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	73c	1,885$1,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$508.95	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over	27c	1,852$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	372	23.9%89 W · 283 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed Over	27c	1,778$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over	17c	1,724$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.76	334	38.6%129 W · 205 L	-17.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa451…449ebacked Under	73c	1,644$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.84	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Over	3c	1,333$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.99	266	47%125 W · 141 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over	27c	1,207$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.76	137	36.5%50 W · 87 L	+9.6wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+17%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over	27c	1,111$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	314	35.7%112 W · 202 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over	28c	999.99$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	229	43.7%100 W · 129 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	73c	855.9$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.09	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1f…fc37backed Over	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-3.2wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d50…e29fbacked Under	80c	751.43$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.43	67	68.7%46 W · 21 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	77c	613.36$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.53	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over	29c	499.95$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.99	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over	7c	430.67$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.21	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	73c	425.02$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.38	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	72c	411.7$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.36	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	21c	374.72$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.72	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9d9abacked Over	27c	370$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	227	30.4%69 W · 158 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c48…f6f6backed Over	27c	363.19$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.06	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	329	22.5%74 W · 255 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over	10c	266.66$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.33	349	24.4%85 W · 264 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over	28c	239.29$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over	30c	219.03$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.25	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	71c	217.93$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.2	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under	74c	200$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	281	64.1%180 W · 101 L	+16.0wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over	28c	200$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	128	29.7%38 W · 90 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over	28c	172.5$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.3	927	32.1%298 W · 629 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	27c	150$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.3	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a881backed Under	74c	135.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.14	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	23c	125.21$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.12	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked Under	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Under	80c	124.98$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	224	66.1%148 W · 76 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b4…3865backed Over	30c	116.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over	27c	107.41$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	124	19.4%24 W · 100 L	-10.7wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd84f…dd03backed Over	27c	107.41$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over	17c	104.17$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	157	22.3%35 W · 122 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over	29c	103.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.14	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf197…6b21backed Under	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6d75backed Over	27c	92.59$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-36%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fdf…1c2ebacked Over	28c	89.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Over	28c	78.57$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	235	28.1%66 W · 169 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ad…2161backed Over	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	145	26.2%38 W · 107 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf9…c527backed Over	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	121	33.1%40 W · 81 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Over	20c	69.87$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.31	248	43.1%107 W · 141 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75b0…0c9bbacked Under	72c	69.44$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.44	64	73.4%47 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	72cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Over	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	462	43.5%201 W · 261 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5e…e107backed Over	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3295…313bbacked Over	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	71c	61$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.69	815	54.8%447 W · 368 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd156…8569backed Under	73c	54.79$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.79	72	73.6%53 W · 19 L	+7.3wins	+0.10per pick	63cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b04…f6bbbacked Over	28c	53.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	22cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over	28c	47$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.16	272	27.6%75 W · 197 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under	71c	43.9$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.73	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over	28c	42.79$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.98	165	35.2%58 W · 107 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	73c	41.78$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.28	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbecf…0f51backed Under	73c	41.1$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	128	60.2%77 W · 51 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb09a…d6a8backed Under	73c	41.1$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	91	68.1%62 W · 29 L	+17.8wins	+0.20per pick	49cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x7274…5040backed Over	27c	40.48$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.93	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	+6.9wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under	72c	25$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	866	56.4%488 W · 378 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ada…5c6cbacked Under	71c	21.13$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.13	139	76.3%106 W · 33 L	+9.3wins	+0.07per pick	70cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Under	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	294	63.3%186 W · 108 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7fd…fe29backed Under	71c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.8	65	63.1%41 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Under	74c	15.04$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.97	785	59.7%469 W · 316 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 1.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 2.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 0.5Over won
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 4.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 5.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 6.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 7.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 8.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 0.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 1.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceCanada won
Spread: Canada (-1.5)South Africa won
Spread: Canada (-2.5)South Africa won
Spread: Canada (-3.5)South Africa won
Spread: Canada (-4.5)South Africa won
Spread: Canada (-5.5)South Africa won
Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Canada won
Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Canada won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event