TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88ad…9e5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
705
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
23

Best Category: Movies, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT22863.2%144 W · 84 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 228 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Lodis vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked devils.one · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.79
LoL: Lodis vs devils.one - Game 2 Winnerbacked devils.one · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$36.45
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 3 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$65.8
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.7
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$59.72
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$35.76
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Team Heretics Academy (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.95
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$11.1
LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
LoL: Barça eSports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winnerbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+246.8%+$42.7
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.17
LoL: Docta Esports vs Maze Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Maze Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 4 Winnerbacked SU Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.74
LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dark Passage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$37.7
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+40%+$62.9
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs 7REX - Game 1 Winnerbacked 7REX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.1
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Lodis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis - Game 1 Winnerbacked Lodis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.54
LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen - Game 2 Winnerbacked CITA Kaizen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.05
Showing 25 of 228 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT11250.9%57 W · 55 L-19.3wins-0.17per pick68cpaid-26.4%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
Tennis — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$80.76
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Dammbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Wimbledon ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$15.06
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuelbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$16.1
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Jil Teichmannbacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Henry Searlebacked Henry Searle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Elias Ymerbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Edas Butvilas vs Moez Echarguibacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanubacked Emma Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Emma Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gavi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+54%+$27
Lamine Yamal: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$9.04
Will the announcers say "Bronze" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.05
Will the announcers say "Handball" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Will the announcers say "Bench" or "Benches" 7+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Rayan Cherki score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
Will the announcers say "Maradona" or "Pelé" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Will the announcers say "Hand of God" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+211.4%+$63.43
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Nutmegs" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the announcers say "Rhythm" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$183.87
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$57.23
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$22.59
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.67
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$89.03
Will Weston McKennie score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Will Charles De Ketelaere score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.7
Will Pedro Neto score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Mikel Merino score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT4454.5%24 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
O/U 0.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Uroš Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.81
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Borislav Nikolic vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Borislav Nikolic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$25.13
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Shara Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$39.87
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Nazim Sadykhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Abus Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Gaston Bolaños · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$28.31
Will Trump say "Fake News" during UFC 250?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.4
Will Trump say “Thousand” or “Million” or “Billion” 5+ times during UFC 250?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.4
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$24.51
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Telstar 1963 vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$106.49
Will PSV win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.25
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.49
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$38.47
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.8
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.38
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.7
Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$143.9
FC Twente '65 vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Will Randers FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.2
Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$56.25
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$119.35
Rangers FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$191.5
FC København vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$47.6
FC København vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.66
Heracles Almelo vs. NAC Breda: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$49.96
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$66.67
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$397.58
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$269
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+281.6%+$366.06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$25.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$47.39
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$117.65
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$52.66
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$47.59
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$124.44
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$184.93
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$428.71
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$146.7
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$148.13
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.5
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$33.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.53
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.35
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.16
Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.25
Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.12
Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.86
Spread: Wrexham AFC (-2.5)backed Wrexham AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96%+$314.96
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$81.69
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fermín Lopez: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.8
Real Racing Club vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.16
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51.92
Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.5
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.65
Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$101.16
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$77.78
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+30%+$22.53
RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37.6%+$8.09
Will Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.37
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$59.74
All 16 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Representing" be said 5+ times during Eurovision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
Will "Audit" be said during Eurovision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.96
Will "Expensive" be said during Eurovision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.75
Will "Yesterday" be said during Eurovision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$20.99
Will "Bathroom" be said during Eurovision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.91
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$20.39
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20.8
Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
All 16 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+146.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$46.65
Will "Peace" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+1,423.7%+$142.37
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+34%+$34.02
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+36%+$17.99
Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
Will "Ice Out" or "Fuck Ice" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$101.6
Will "Polymarket" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$69.13
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$121.83
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will "Iran" or "Iranian" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.34
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$10.3
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$36.73
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$82.8
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+37.2%+$37.24
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+224.1%+$112.06
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+32%+$31.98
Will Jensen Huang say "Vera Rubin" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Jensen Huang say "Microsoft" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11
Will Jensen Huang say "Deep Learning" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Collect" or "Collected" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Powell say "Delayed" or "Delay" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Powell say "Nothing" 3+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$17.17
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Will Powell say "Supreme Court" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Powell say "Gold" or "Oil" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$46.04
Will Powell say "Speculate" or "Speculation" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 8 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick73cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-77.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+96.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Devilsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Blue Jackets vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+149%+$80.12
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Dinamo Minskbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+125.7%+$125.73
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+204.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+99.3%+$99.31
First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Nicaraguabacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$19.24
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.3wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29.1%+$58.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fluminense FC vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.