Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fcb2e9f17da9152eb2003871922aef3a854f60ee61e819130b9e0555ec369f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 46c | 198,938$91,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,435.1 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 54c | 168,962$91,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,722.71 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 55c | 17,437$9,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,774.81 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 16c | 2,723$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.7 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,984$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.67 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 785.25$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.48 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Over | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +96%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Over | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 16c | 313.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 56c | 300$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 46c | 249.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.97 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 54c | 245.25$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.57 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 56c | 224$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 36c | 140.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 56c | 135$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 56c | 110.7$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 99.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 90.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 38c | 67.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 56c | 67.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Under | 57c | 66.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ab…24c0backed Over | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 55c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…f1adbacked Over | 36c | 29.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.