TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfeca…f1ad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT450%0 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.42
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.62
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.7
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$35.18
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.51
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.75
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22.1
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.4
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$36.25
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28.46
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26.3
Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.28
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$52.65
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40.55
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.32
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$11.73
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$14.71
Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.01
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Spread: Wizards (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+59.6%+$11.2
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.91
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Cavaliers vs. Netsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Kings vs. Spursbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$14.43
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Hurricanes vs. Oilersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Utah vs. Flyersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+83.5%+$18.2
Senators vs. Oilersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.61
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$22.85
Flyers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.19
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Red Wings vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Golden Knights vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$17.1
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.22
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$17.69
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.37
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.18
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.4
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+52.4%+$8.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma Sooners vs. LSU Tigersbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool A: Panama vs. Cubabacked Cuba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Rome, USA: Bella Payne vs Christasha McNeilbacked Christasha McNeil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.