TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,220
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,220 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed Over42c40,535$17,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,410.358354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Under57c35,150$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over43c25,458$10,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,511.139350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under56c19,779$10,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,984.15933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-41%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c16,525$8,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,953.462,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Over45c16,240$7,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,931.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under58c11,877$6,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,888.5634643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under55c9,091$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Under56c8,857$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9601145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f6c…b40cbacked Over45c8,750$3,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,812.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ed…4ed7backed Under56c8,600$4,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,815.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over44c6,830$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,833.0540447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under55c6,055$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3301752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over46c5,398$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,898.289054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2007560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over37c3,969$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,506.761,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over43c3,952$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.5133148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over37c3,809$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,393.0116838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c2,420$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under55c2,372$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.5426040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1803243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed Under1c1,850$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Over70c1,819$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.789440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over16c1,421$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.3149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under54c1,313$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.764040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Under67c1,305$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.35728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-58.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over43c1,219$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.614825%12 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Under63c847.95$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over46c756.52$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.523158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.82650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over49c618.77$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.772133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3367558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.1817058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over46c567.39$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.392161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over46c565.22$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.228757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.484017.5%7 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over46c505.5$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.54858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under78c500$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.48850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…cc36backed Under10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc461…83dbbacked Under10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc934…5551backed Under10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over46c487.15$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.153444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under65c467.88$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.1531051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under55c464.24$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.4198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over36c427.42$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.6938739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over45c405.91$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.252245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over60c401.63$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4620431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1722958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over46c395.65$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.654362.8%27 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over35c386.23$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.2316526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over63c377.78$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7811268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Under55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf617…80c9backed Under55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over45c354.53$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.535147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3317744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3313946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Over45c314.87$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.181758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over32c312.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.494247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Under55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301926.3%5 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick9cpaid+454.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Under10c299.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301625%4 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+380%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under55c299.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+41.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over53c299.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14115042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under54c299.98$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9928556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over44c270.08$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2445547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under54c270$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.825556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8619353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under57c265.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over45c252.49$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8721650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Over44c249.8$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.89520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Over42c242$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.362650%13 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Under56c234$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.043828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under54c229.97$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1916851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over59c226$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.662653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c0…d72dbacked Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over45c220.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1911348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over46c220$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.81650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under56c213.44$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.141952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c4…fe0abacked Over45c210$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x140d…a937backed Over48c208.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.541090%9 W · 1 L+4.8wins+0.48per pick42cpaid+123.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Under56c208$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.483426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e7b…9716backed Over44c204.84$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under54c202.48$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4646047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10815847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e94…4186backed Under56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under54c189.17$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over47c186.67$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6734553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Under55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Under56c179$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Under55c167.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.661618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-58.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Under61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7317958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over45c157.78$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.784936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under58c157.27$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.919750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfd2…d439backed Over46c155.43$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over46c153.14$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1412946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over29c137.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9318055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.