Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92bd08146637e91ff39b5b5a1ec79c9bfd5b707ca9f386c5666add221989850b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Over | 25c | 2,765$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 2,369$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.37 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 75c | 2,213$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.25 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 76c | 1,871$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.78 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 24c | 1,249$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Under | 75c | 1,177$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.64 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 10c | 999.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 24c | 749.92$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 35c | 727.05$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.38 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Under | 78c | 610.53$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 25c | 601.01$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 79c | 505.58$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.34 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Under | 76c | 355.26$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd5…9e49backed Under | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 24c | 255.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…94b9backed Over | 40c | 252.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Under | 66c | 212.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 77c | 210$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 21c | 175$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 25c | 164$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Under | 77c | 162.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 73c | 154.32$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Over | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Over | 25c | 85.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 76c | 78.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 26c | 67.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Under | 75c | 66.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 24c | 63.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…e204backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…378bbacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58ae…5c25backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 61c | 39.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 29c | 39.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 62c | 34.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…e37cbacked Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Under | 77c | 27.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 67cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cae…db7fbacked Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…053bbacked Under | 77c | 18.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.