TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,852
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,852 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No46c14,589$6,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,881.042,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes54c5,556$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.243464.7%22 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Yes55c2,380$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3002133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No46c2,373$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.0333148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No46c1,546$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.7440447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Yes60c1,458$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.82650%13 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed No47c1,262$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.811637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ad…82e0backed No48c999.98$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.996100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No48c910.61$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.584261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed No48c909.35$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.862680.8%21 W · 5 L+7.9wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.6%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked No48c845.83$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.832356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Yes52c740$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.83542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x789e…cf5ebacked No65c616.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Yes68c600$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4082673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes52c599.91$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.957749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05a2…468cbacked No46c599.84$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.921936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a16…1050backed Yes53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001850%9 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x876f…4f66backed No48c491.92$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.87100%7 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes54c477.23$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes53c475.28$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Yes65c462.65$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes52c411.92$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.734825%12 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1366936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2164057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Yes54c369.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.784553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ca…029bbacked Yes52c305.77$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17415042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Yes53c294.34$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x621e…471fbacked Yes54c277.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes28c248.29$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.141,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Yes49c243.38$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.882250%11 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+49.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes61c230.95$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes44c227.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No46c227$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5837250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed Yes52c215.23$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.921822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-58%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes49c212.96$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10516526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002725.9%7 W · 20 L-6.1wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-48.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xce1e…2dbcbacked Yes50c202.96$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes52c202.72$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e53…d1fdbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc67b…dc73backed Yes54c185$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.91040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b1…8424backed No48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes48c176.51$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4116838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes54c144.44$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked No47c138.2$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.252347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes52c124.41$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.694339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Yes53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…d85abacked Yes53c106.57$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ff5…50eabacked Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…b088backed Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5334553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Yes52c99.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-53.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes52c99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.483839.5%15 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked No49c98.28$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.351526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No49c95.45$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6816340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012232%39 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9f…b100backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+44%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes53c93.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.814247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504362.8%27 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502544%11 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab08…37fabacked Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1114549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No44c88.84$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.157462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Yes54c85.19$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38d5…865bbacked No47c85.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.14650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.12055%11 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a70…cba6backed Yes52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9d…8ce0backed Yes54c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+57.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed54…b090backed Yes52c73.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd6…b378backed Yes54c70.91$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.293458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Yes54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.89353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed No48c68.78$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.039750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b5…2354backed No48c58.55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.457100%7 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0783…73dbbacked Yes52c56.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ce…2414backed Yes54c56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.243234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9f…4b15backed Yes54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdc…8e06backed Yes54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed No28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368861.4%54 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.86959.4%41 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No47c49.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4913350.4%67 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed Yes53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259851%50 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff5e…a98cbacked Yes53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.