TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc67b…dc73

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
169
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 59 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$47.85
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.4
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$151.2
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$85.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$74.4
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$99.36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.29
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$228.45
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49.92
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+83%+$232.7
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.12
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$20.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$61.92
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.46
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$19.13
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$30.72
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.14
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$17.2
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.06
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$345.33
All 25 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.78
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.38
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
AC Sparta Praha vs. AZ: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$83
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Ferencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Crystal Palace FC vs. AEK Lárnakas: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.75
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Panathinaikós AO: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$8.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.9
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+43%+$54.09
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.75
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$95.6
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$423.21
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$313.6
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$37.32
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$18.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$16.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+203%+$84.42
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$460.66
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$245
Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.16
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$54.88
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+114.6%+$53.4
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.09
Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$99.9
Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.7
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.02
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.16
Will Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+185.7%+$65
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-84.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$21.08
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35.21
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.76
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+164.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$36.4
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+242.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+242.5%+$60.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$26.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$124.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Platense vs. CA Independiente: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.