Europa Conference League · resolved market
KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x266e18140b5dc6189b4b8286a1fbcba7e024b8c48de2f487dd0dfb001fa7d9a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,706 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 3,507$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.22 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 57c | 1,768$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 1,305$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.95 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,114$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.9 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 44c | 784.89$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.07 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 52c | 557.38$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.84 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 47c | 458.53$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.02 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed No | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 362.94$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.79 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 53c | 333$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.49 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 327.86$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.14 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 321.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 54c | 284.86$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 56c | 225.17$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.59 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…d156backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 54c | 185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 54c | 170$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 54c | 165$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes | 55c | 161.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 51c | 152.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed Yes | 56c | 139.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 42c | 99.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 54c | 98.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 22c | 74.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -82%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 61c | 74.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 55c | 73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 18c | 65.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 65.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Yes | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 48c | 56.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…eb82backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…7759backed No | 50c | 50.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 25c | 49.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49a8…b182backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64e…5d27backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 47c | 41.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Yes | 33c | 39.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8458…b67abacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -63%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 57c | 35.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…93cbbacked Yes | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x409a…df2fbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 46c | 26.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked No | 44c | 25.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 57c | 22.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed No | 46c | 21.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 52c | 21.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…dc73backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…2a8cbacked Yes | 70c | 19.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…67e1backed Yes | 54c | 19.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 54c | 19.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 79c | 18.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…0c3dbacked Yes | 58c | 17.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a04…e58dbacked No | 79c | 15.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5Under won
- KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5Under won
- KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: KRC Genk (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)KRC Genk won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)KRC Genk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.