TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa64e…5d27

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
172
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5664.3%36 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+304.8%+$72.11
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.27
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the third-place match be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$11.28
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.94
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$16.74
Argentina to score first vs. Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$10.13
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$32.41
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$6.85
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.66
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.34
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$33.25
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$13.22
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.03
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.67
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.43
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$10.62
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.52
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$92.49
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$6.36
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.24
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.27
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$26.43
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.44
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$9.56
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.52
Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$43.15
Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+46%+$9.2
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$20.43
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
Swansea City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.58
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$19.75
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$7.84
Southampton FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Leicester City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+156.4%+$62.56
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.53
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$19.19
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.32
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.52
Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.65
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.22
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.45
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.66
KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
HNK Rijeka vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$39.71
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.63
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ODDIK - Map 1 Winnerbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+45%+$4.86
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.66
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$38.91
Counter-Strike: BIG vs K27 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.85
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$35.44
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.06
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+55%+$6.31
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.54
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-36.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-52.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$17.77
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Menorca: Matteo Martineau vs Raul Brancacciobacked Matteo Martineau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.43
Credit One Charleston Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Sofia Keninbacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacific Tigers vs. Pepperdine Waves: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+71.3%+$10.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.