CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ODDIK - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4134e0b67fe51415ac94a8dabfbd479fa3df073b706de58585b96130516151cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, ODDIK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Keyd | 52c | 3,117$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.3 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed ODDIK | 60c | 3,067$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.97 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…e615backed Keyd | 56c | 831.38$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.71 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Keyd | 53c | 744.24$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Keyd | 59c | 351.78$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.53 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed ODDIK | 66c | 326.75$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.51 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ODDIK | 25c | 292.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked ODDIK | 32c | 253.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Keyd | 60c | 198.66$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Keyd | 52c | 182.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.42 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked ODDIK | 19c | 173.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked ODDIK | 44c | 168.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…5f50backed Keyd | 47c | 122.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ODDIK | 32c | 100.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Keyd | 60c | 79.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked ODDIK | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed ODDIK | 50c | 77.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 603 | 58.5%353 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked ODDIK | 44c | 75.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked ODDIK | 22c | 75.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked ODDIK | 42c | 74.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…a8e5backed Keyd | 42c | 71.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked ODDIK | 20c | 71.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Keyd | 21c | 68.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ODDIK | 38c | 63.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Keyd | 51c | 60.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed ODDIK | 54c | 55.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Keyd | 59c | 53.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ODDIK | 24c | 51.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed ODDIK | 42c | 51.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed ODDIK | 42c | 51.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked ODDIK | 42c | 51.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Keyd | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed ODDIK | 44c | 49.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa246…c6acbacked Keyd | 60c | 48.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Keyd | 53c | 46.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed ODDIK | 33c | 44.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed ODDIK | 54c | 42.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Keyd | 54c | 42.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed ODDIK | 44c | 42.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Keyd | 50c | 33.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Keyd | 45c | 30.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ODDIK | 35c | 29.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64e…5d27backed Keyd | 69c | 15.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ODDIK - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ODDIK (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier PlayoffsODDIK won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ODDIK - Map 2 WinnerODDIK won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.