TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ODDIK - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ODDIKof Keyd, ODDIK
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,345 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a14…d748backed Keyd50c8,779$4,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,377.2257358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked ODDIK50c5,869$2,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,950.213,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ODDIK45c3,709$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.146,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed ODDIK63c2,336$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.9239248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked ODDIK62c1,519$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.322,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Keyd42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63021941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked ODDIK52c1,000$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48581244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa5…e615backed ODDIK49c815.48$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.593568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Keyd36c809.46$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4651252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked ODDIK50c797.89$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.111,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked ODDIK21c725.15$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.353,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ODDIK53c686.99$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.677,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed Keyd60c597.6$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.5622734.4%78 W · 149 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9147…baccbacked Keyd42c576.76$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.277241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Keyd53c523.13$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.1927740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ODDIK34c363.25$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.74,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Keyd38c348.21$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.122263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…7307backed Keyd62c336.63$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.5313267.4%89 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebcd…5c0bbacked Keyd36c326.91$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.681520%3 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+114.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Keyd45c321.11$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6741260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed ODDIK59c297.58$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0115749.7%78 W · 79 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa65…1021backed Keyd63c230.86$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick72cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86bc…efbcbacked ODDIK67c219.6$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.519159.3%54 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked ODDIK43c197.52$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.692,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63ff…5f94backed ODDIK40c192.8$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6815259.9%91 W · 61 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4092…f145backed ODDIK54c179.08$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.825650%28 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Keyd70c176.01$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8926075%195 W · 65 L+23.6wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked ODDIK40c175$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10517055.3%94 W · 76 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed Keyd56c174.25$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3554439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf32…895cbacked Keyd48c170.41$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.562646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c4…f0a4backed Keyd64c155.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4713937.4%52 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed ODDIK51c152.62$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.634,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Keyd75c144.26$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.362157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba4a…9fa6backed Keyd68c144.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed ODDIK56c143.14$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.620045.5%91 W · 109 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed ODDIK60c136.43$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.099758.8%57 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd043…50c8backed Keyd48c125.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.171931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Keyd37c124.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.681963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ODDIK38c120.14$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.464,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed ODDIK41c118.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8915544.5%69 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa6e…6d63backed Keyd63c117.96$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked ODDIK60c117.7$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6698052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked ODDIK73c112.67$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0122444.6%100 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed Keyd35c108.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5114135.5%50 W · 91 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Keyd64c107.62$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8825251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed ODDIK41c105.23$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6733448.2%161 W · 173 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed ODDIK49c100.43$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.171,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda4c…1cc2backed Keyd48c96.31$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.514341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked ODDIK51c95.53$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4710159.4%60 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked Keyd42c94.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2616451.8%85 W · 79 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8da9…0a78backed Keyd37c94.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.631560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed ODDIK29c93.56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.632,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4ec6…e52cbacked Keyd71c89.56$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.588360.2%50 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked ODDIK39c86.46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.746058.3%35 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed ODDIK57c85.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7560358.5%353 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked ODDIK15c83.45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9336434.1%124 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked ODDIK31c79.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.881,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked ODDIK53c78.3$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7412352.8%65 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed ODDIK47c77.85$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0755950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed ODDIK50c67.58$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.91,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8c…6c48backed Keyd44c64.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.858641.9%36 W · 50 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Keyd37c64.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.671850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Keyd38c62.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.783745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed ODDIK39c61.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7532138.3%123 W · 198 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed ODDIK51c61.35$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.172,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked ODDIK53c60.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.485261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed ODDIK53c60.03$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.138552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa517…33efbacked ODDIK35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed ODDIK33c56.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7537841.8%158 W · 220 L-33.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed ODDIK53c54.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.811546.1%53 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd52c52.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.045,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Keyd45c51.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.211942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Keyd37c51.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.251060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Keyd30c50.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2431328.4%89 W · 224 L-21.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e90…0bd0backed Keyd75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.56058.3%35 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e17…f377backed ODDIK57c46.44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.141275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa5f…08d5backed ODDIK52c44.79$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.571492.9%13 W · 1 L+4.5wins+0.32per pick61cpaid+57.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked ODDIK57c42.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3740148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9413…d4bbbacked Keyd47c41.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.361136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…9111backed ODDIK49c39.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.026949.3%34 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x118d…0d42backed ODDIK50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.47131%22 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed ODDIK49c38.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.597757.1%44 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked ODDIK49c38.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.597857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed ODDIK49c38.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.596854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed ODDIK35c38.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8125042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed ODDIK35c38.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8827443.1%118 W · 156 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked ODDIK35c38.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8748948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed ODDIK67c38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.718057.2%103 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfaf…064abacked ODDIK53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+48.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe881…db61backed Keyd28c37.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.49633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked ODDIK46c35.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3247260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Keyd34c35.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.975,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4470…c22ebacked ODDIK41c35.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.827536%27 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked ODDIK56c34.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.938858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked ODDIK49c33.93$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.39058.9%53 W · 37 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Keyd54c31.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1449376.1%375 W · 118 L+96.8wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x1647…006dbacked ODDIK62c31.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+114.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90cb…4622backed ODDIK57c30.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.234755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3335…f6debacked ODDIK49c29.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1315770.1%110 W · 47 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed Keyd34c29.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.042821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.