TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9147…bacc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Valorant, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Valorant at 49 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT7241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.32
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$86.51
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.19
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$137.35
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$569.01
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ODDIK - Map 2 Winnerbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.27
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.91
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$224.12
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.43
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.63
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Passion UA (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.54
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+171.3%+$302.19
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.56
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$103.03
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs illwill - Map 2 Winnerbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.72
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.08
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+206.1%+$692.17
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$134.02
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$355.5
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.2
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$76.81
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.04
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$35.46
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.53
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.53
Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.73
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.27
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.32
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$21.86
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$38.03
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+35.2%+$35.2
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21.25
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$245.64
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Play-Inbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fury beat Usyk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$101
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.