TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Vici Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,868 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07b1…6dfcbacked Vici Gaming47c25,000$11,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,641.793148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked Vici Gaming47c19,250$9,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,047.637236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons53c18,868$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,867.921,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons53c12,442$6,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,891.5160542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Falcons50c5,047$2,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52224246.7%113 W · 129 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a5…55d6backed Vici Gaming48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4002045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Team Falcons54c4,283$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.663852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880d…50b8backed Team Falcons53c4,156$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.091258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Vici Gaming17c2,613$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.3518844.7%84 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a4…6c3ebacked Team Falcons56c2,300$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0125137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Vici Gaming36c1,393$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.2935850.6%181 W · 177 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed Team Falcons51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58812335.8%44 W · 79 L-13.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf3be…12ccbacked Team Falcons55c999.96$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9811142.3%47 W · 64 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons60c851.69$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.0571143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Vici Gaming47c843.86$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.612343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa90…6b3abacked Vici Gaming49c800.01$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3921947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Team Falcons60c799.99$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3234761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x363c…9b0ebacked Team Falcons53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28212148.8%59 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Vici Gaming49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19646240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Team Falcons53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3622260.4%134 W · 88 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Vici Gaming38c350.83$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.361,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec6…db1ebacked Team Falcons58c346.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.410557.1%60 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Team Falcons53c330.26$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2212646%58 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Vici Gaming48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506240.3%25 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked Team Falcons66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0319849%97 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked Vici Gaming48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1444445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Vici Gaming8c219.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.540534.6%140 W · 265 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Team Falcons56c214.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.297847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Falcons57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4459556.6%337 W · 258 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Vici Gaming45c155.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7026343%113 W · 150 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fda…330cbacked Team Falcons70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Vici Gaming46c139.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.453634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Vici Gaming45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5422738.3%87 W · 140 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Team Falcons53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2114643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Team Falcons56c109.93$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3715353.6%82 W · 71 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e17…589ebacked Vici Gaming49c101.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd1…864bbacked Team Falcons54c100.49$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Falcons62c100.16$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.891,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed Vici Gaming42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4217149.7%85 W · 86 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Vici Gaming46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4642146.6%196 W · 225 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Team Falcons53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Team Falcons56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4421353.5%114 W · 99 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x891f…f851backed Team Falcons51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3214…cfcbbacked Team Falcons68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3216361.3%100 W · 63 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Vici Gaming49c99.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9832548.9%159 W · 166 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Vici Gaming43c97.02$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.728445.2%38 W · 46 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e96…e128backed Team Falcons52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1510937.6%41 W · 68 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons58c92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7477256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Team Falcons56c92$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2416550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7518…a533backed Team Falcons54c90.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.741947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Team Falcons55c89.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2412155.4%67 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+134.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42cd…2359backed Team Falcons56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.296657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Team Falcons54c84.62$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.931816.7%3 W · 15 L-5.7wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-72.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2aca…ea05backed Vici Gaming45c83.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9147…baccbacked Team Falcons57c82.46$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.466043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aef…887abacked Team Falcons56c80.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.362544%11 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Vici Gaming43c71.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6423149.4%114 W · 117 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5000…c2bebacked Vici Gaming29c62.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Team Falcons56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.415465.6%101 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Team Falcons56c58.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9318550.8%94 W · 91 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Team Falcons67c52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1617852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288d…00eabacked Team Falcons53c51.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.061450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Vici Gaming28c49.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6943860.5%265 W · 173 L+44.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Vici Gaming48c47.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2322453.1%119 W · 105 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed Team Falcons68c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9347548%228 W · 247 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x142f…19f9backed Team Falcons58c41.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3823442.7%100 W · 134 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb3…ca8bbacked Vici Gaming44c41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.047045.7%32 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf437…d954backed Team Falcons56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca9…1799backed Vici Gaming48c31.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ce…3f1dbacked Team Falcons52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.854753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Vici Gaming45c26.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.134452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0710…3e39backed Vici Gaming47c25.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123060%18 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Team Falcons53c25.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252950.9%269 W · 260 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06ad…6b2fbacked Team Falcons55c24.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.35650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Team Falcons57c22.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8150855.5%282 W · 226 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…f1ccbacked Team Falcons56c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.242334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Falcons55c20.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1426445.1%119 W · 145 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x173a…b343backed Vici Gaming50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c73…5dd6backed Team Falcons51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85bc…1909backed Team Falcons61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.