Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x251c849b645b40138ee19ee534c2ae15b686797628a42d9843f4757dc669db19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $767,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $940,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $767,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 158,438$44,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,862.31 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 70c | 71,334$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,333.66 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked Vici Gaming | 3c | 20,250$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Vici Gaming | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 17,399$13,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,234.06 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 15,000$10,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.99 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…7c30backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 13,800$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 11,139$8,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.81 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Vici Gaming | 24c | 9,866$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.7 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Vici Gaming | 3c | 9,414$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.59 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Team Falcons | 76c | 9,158$6,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.86 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 9,000$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Vici Gaming | 16c | 8,562$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.19 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Team Falcons | 70c | 8,383$5,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.88 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Vici Gaming | 27c | 8,042$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.32 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vici Gaming | 24c | 7,856$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.62 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…675ebacked Vici Gaming | 19c | 7,813$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.47 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming | 24c | 6,833$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Vici Gaming | 15c | 6,751$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.4 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 6,734$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Falcons | 78c | 6,094$4,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.02 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Vici Gaming | 9c | 5,017$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.02 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Vici Gaming | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Vici Gaming | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 4,801$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.13 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Falcons | 79c | 4,630$3,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Team Falcons | 72c | 4,200$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.8 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…8b6cbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 4,106$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.43 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Vici Gaming | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d5…d5eabacked Team Falcons | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Vici Gaming | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 3,884$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.42 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vici Gaming | 25c | 3,785$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.99 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons | 69c | 3,716$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.19 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Vici Gaming | 6c | 3,710$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.59 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 3,451$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.8 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Vici Gaming | 25c | 3,404$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.57 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Vici Gaming | 25c | 3,221$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.95 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Vici Gaming | 13c | 3,210$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Vici Gaming | 27c | 2,679$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.89 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 2,559$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.26 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…f0e5backed Vici Gaming | 9c | 2,550$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Vici Gaming | 19c | 2,531$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.91 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 2,400$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Vici Gaming | 1c | 2,257$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 324 | 3.1%10 W · 314 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…d8d6backed Vici Gaming | 3c | 2,192$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Vici Gaming | 25c | 2,165$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.21 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Team Falcons | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…de32backed Team Falcons | 73c | 2,110$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons | 80c | 2,020$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.97 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Vici Gaming | 13c | 2,000$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.42 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…b26bbacked Vici Gaming | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 1,956$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.08 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Vici Gaming | 12c | 1,905$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked Team Falcons | 72c | 1,600$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 1,550$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.94 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…9c8abacked Vici Gaming | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.99 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fe…211ebacked Vici Gaming | 21c | 1,414$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.17 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 1,330$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Team Falcons | 68c | 1,324$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.53 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 1,260$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.01 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Vici Gaming | 15c | 1,172$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Vici Gaming | 1c | 1,117$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307c…e707backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 1,065$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Vici Gaming | 22c | 1,007$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.27 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 1,003$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.72 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 76c | 1,002$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.48 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Vici Gaming | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd309…dc1bbacked Vici Gaming | 15c | 990.8$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.62 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d7…17e6backed Vici Gaming | 11c | 988.64$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 981.95$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.41 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Team Falcons | 76c | 921.05$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.05 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 904.64$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.25 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Vici Gaming | 29c | 877$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.11 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…186cbacked Vici Gaming | 24c | 803$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.72 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +10.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Team Falcons | 73c | 800.33$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.41 | 192 | 60.4%116 W · 76 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Vici Gaming | 27c | 774.07$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 740$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Falcons | 77c | 738.69$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.51 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 732.48$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.44 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…1c3dbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…76cdbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 707.21$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 700.45$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.04 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Falcons | 68c | 691.18$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.18 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Team Falcons | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Vici Gaming | 18c | 638.21$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Falcons | 78c | 638.21$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.83 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad0…6187backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 599.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 588$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Team Falcons | 74c | 568$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.6 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Vici Gaming | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed Vici Gaming | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Team Falcons | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 80c | 485.87$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd2…54a3backed Team Falcons | 74c | 465.19$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Team Falcons | 72c | 462.92$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.92 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Elimination RoundTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.