TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe8fe…211e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3330.3%10 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.36
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.53
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+201.9%+$270.19
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+278.5%+$1,603.38
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.18
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.17
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+123%+$122.95
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+178.8%+$378.39
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$628.9
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 4 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$533.36
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+429.3%+$858.64
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Color - Map 2 Winnerbacked Color · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$842.2
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.86
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ENCE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+318.3%+$318.33
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick28cpaid+13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$461.19
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.13
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.18
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.5
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+1,131.3%+$1,131.3
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid+21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Monterrey Open, Qualification: En-Shuo Liang vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
ITF M15 Båstad Men: Jan Simonsson vs Niklas Guttaubacked Jan Simonsson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Cancun: Moez Echargui vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.6
Cincinnati Open: Peyton Stearns vs Clara Tausonbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+546.9%+$1,093.71
Cincinnati Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Sofia Kenin vs Eva Lysbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+590.5%+$1,180.95
Cincinnati Open: Mary Stoiana vs Tereza Valentovabacked Mary Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xiyu Wangbacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.37
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.18
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+174.6%+$174.59
Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Valorant: Nova Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+176.1%+$352.21
Valorant: Joblife vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.75
All 8 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.