TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Connecticut Sun
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$267,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8002…8b6cbacked New York Liberty78c30,118$23,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,548.921163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked New York Liberty77c23,927$18,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,483.0326953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Connecticut Sun23c17,002$3,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,865.3536154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Liberty77c13,574$10,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,094.340550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Connecticut Sun23c13,016$2,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,993.751947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Connecticut Sun23c12,500$2,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,824.9783748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Connecticut Sun23c11,561$2,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.2627449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce36…2b99backed Connecticut Sun20c10,142$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.18137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-69.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty77c9,508$7,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.441,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Connecticut Sun23c8,664$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.722152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty78c7,667$5,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.4289349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Connecticut Sun23c7,605$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.511844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Liberty78c6,930$5,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.1532049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Liberty77c6,000$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3808159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Connecticut Sun21c4,668$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.5674942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Connecticut Sun22c4,040$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.5946247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Connecticut Sun22c3,684$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.534456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b4…9fc9backed Connecticut Sun21c3,571$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick43cpaid-74.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Connecticut Sun28c3,249$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.2937141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed New York Liberty72c3,242$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.8912144.6%54 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed New York Liberty77c3,200$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.3319446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Connecticut Sun21c3,158$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.1617946.4%83 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Connecticut Sun1c2,878$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7826147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Connecticut Sun21c2,720$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.199139.6%36 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Connecticut Sun17c2,310$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.1828647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Connecticut Sun24c2,234$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.2719458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Connecticut Sun30c2,000$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.6185158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Liberty78c1,969$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.4332150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Connecticut Sun21c1,905$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba0c…4715backed New York Liberty79c1,786$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.281080%8 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d64…ba4abacked Connecticut Sun22c1,595$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.751717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-63%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked New York Liberty78c1,594$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.4213256.8%75 W · 57 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Connecticut Sun22c1,477$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32541145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty78c1,446$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.799548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Connecticut Sun23c1,420$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed New York Liberty61c1,414$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.417259.7%43 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf1…b5afbacked Connecticut Sun21c1,335$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.355341.5%22 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Connecticut Sun42c1,307$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.9131043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca49…6262backed Connecticut Sun17c1,297$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Connecticut Sun21c1,196$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.2415746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Liberty67c1,179$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.7350646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Connecticut Sun22c1,177$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.6292248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63df…63d1backed Connecticut Sun14c1,089$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.47638.2%29 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Connecticut Sun21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21032540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked New York Liberty74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.0813844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc306…accdbacked New York Liberty77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2304456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Connecticut Sun21c999.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed New York Liberty62c959.69$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.5212234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Connecticut Sun22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002825%7 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked New York Liberty77c905.39$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.5641147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Connecticut Sun20c701$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.215741.4%65 W · 92 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Connecticut Sun23c688.43$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.717241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Connecticut Sun23c677.18$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.676643.9%29 W · 37 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty77c637.57$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.371,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x622c…4309backed New York Liberty80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Connecticut Sun13c619.26$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.119214.1%13 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5850…fdd9backed New York Liberty62c604.82$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.811154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Connecticut Sun31c601.11$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1550952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked New York Liberty77c580$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8515250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Connecticut Sun22c525$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Connecticut Sun22c507$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5438650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Connecticut Sun21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Connecticut Sun22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked New York Liberty80c443.82$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0110454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x741a…534ebacked New York Liberty63c419$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed Connecticut Sun41c410.97$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.35922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid+92.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked New York Liberty74c407.16$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.165949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x834d…0c31backed Connecticut Sun21c407$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe692…13a8backed Connecticut Sun22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883850%19 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Connecticut Sun23c394$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.629348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Connecticut Sun34c380.55$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.368062.5%50 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8513…7d41backed New York Liberty69c374.18$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.394751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…88ecbacked New York Liberty79c367.77$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.062544%11 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Connecticut Sun28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed New York Liberty75c354.62$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.021770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8fe…211ebacked Connecticut Sun27c345$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Connecticut Sun23c339.12$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2517946.9%84 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Connecticut Sun31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005844.8%26 W · 32 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed New York Liberty77c318.58$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.723941%16 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed New York Liberty69c309.36$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.912045%54 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Connecticut Sun21c308.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.822568%17 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd09…42d9backed New York Liberty62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd21c…2afcbacked New York Liberty77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Connecticut Sun21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0532750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Connecticut Sun21c300$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3239947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x417d…f3c5backed New York Liberty75c299.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.61764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Connecticut Sun17c287.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.963946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f4…3dc9backed New York Liberty77c285.06$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.064067.5%27 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Connecticut Sun21c276$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2430734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed New York Liberty73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.972065%13 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked New York Liberty79c261.65$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.958953.9%48 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cbf…4e4ebacked New York Liberty77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed New York Liberty78c259$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.987740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Connecticut Sun17c256.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.95908.9%8 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-54%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked Connecticut Sun23c256.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a4b…5b39backed New York Liberty79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.163100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eea…8896backed Connecticut Sun22c208.11$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.78425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd0…3447backed Connecticut Sun20c201.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.55425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0daa…ae42backed New York Liberty61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Connecticut Sun23c198.42$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.824347.7%116 W · 127 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.