WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34291fa0542193029c3646fe25397882abe3a9dbcdcdc6bcf1c8f73f16a0982c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4c8…8f5abacked Over | 44c | 10,820$4,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749.1 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -6.5wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 10,416$5,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,081 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 66c | 6,758$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.13 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Over | 50c | 6,704$3,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,336.45 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 3,947$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.82 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…230dbacked Over | 47c | 2,206$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 2,037$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.26 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 46c | 1,556$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.86 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…72e7backed Over | 48c | 1,397$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 1,318$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.8 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 52c | 1,262$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.19 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Over | 49c | 984.84$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Over | 51c | 971.93$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 800.78$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.38 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x492a…46aebacked Under | 52c | 789.02$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Over | 51c | 652.94$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 38c | 525$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.08 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 50c | 400$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 52c | 374.37$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.79 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 365.26$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 65c | 268$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 265.2$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.11 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 53c | 204$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 53c | 183.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.26 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 57c | 171.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 51c | 117$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7340…f73fbacked Over | 23c | 65.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Under | 52c | 58.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 51.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 48c | 48.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 39.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 34.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Over | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 45c | 23.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Under | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe369…9148backed Under | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f53…12cabacked Under | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f6…b228backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 53c | 19.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5this page
- Brittney Griner: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Leïla Lacan: Points O/U 11.5No won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut SunNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 173.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 175.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 176.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 177.5Under won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.