WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 173.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73283c8da9604a5e7bc35f3f687d8b0cfe3e2d3b11e7e78d8f999e841ca3907b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 2,520$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.68 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 2,242$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.47 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 53c | 1,241$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.65 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 1,181$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.85 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 47c | 820.85$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.62 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 54c | 391.03$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.79 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 54c | 368.1$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.84 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 45c | 275.45$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.83 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 56c | 272.24$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.67 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 59c | 270.87$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.12 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 47c | 258$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.35 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 256$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed7…aae7backed Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 137.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 98.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Over | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 47c | 95.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Under | 58c | 90.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 30c | 64.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 46c | 62.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 54c | 62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 48c | 44.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 46c | 36.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 46c | 32.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 41c | 30.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 54c | 26.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Under | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 42c | 25.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f53…12cabacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 65c | 18.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 173.5this page
- Brittney Griner: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Leïla Lacan: Points O/U 11.5No won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut SunNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 175.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 176.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 177.5Under won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.