TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,154

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,365 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Under45c2,837$1,282 inWon+$1,555.271,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inLost-$1,0005158.8%30 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Over54c999.99$540 inLost-$539.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Over36c599.98$216 inLost-$215.993740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c585.58$281 inWon+$304.6332540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over57c350.88$200 inLost-$2007450%37 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c313.58$133 inWon+$180.3674942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under64c296$189 inWon+$106.5655255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over55c293.48$160 inLost-$160.159255.4%51 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe01…6f13backed Over57c263.16$150 inLost-$150475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under48c260$126 inWon+$134.450952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under47c256$120 inWon+$135.6892248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c194.93$100 inLost-$99.861,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under43c113$49 inWon+$64.4150646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd72…529fbacked Over47c89.43$42 inLost-$42.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under65c87.97$57 inWon+$30.7912661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over35c87.8$31 inLost-$30.7328647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8513…7d41backed Over53c80$42 inLost-$424751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over55c47.61$26 inLost-$26.1923746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under47c44.64$21 inWon+$23.667248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c40.98$19 inWon+$21.7499548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under51c33.33$17 inWon+$16.434862.5%30 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+25.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under45c32.98$15 inWon+$18.1461042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.