TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Connecticut Sunof New York Liberty, Connecticut Sun
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,811 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x684b…8409backed Connecticut Sun53c40,000$21,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,7509245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed New York Liberty45c26,383$11,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,966.723956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked New York Liberty49c20,680$10,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,210.321346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed New York Liberty48c14,873$7,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,139.047648.7%37 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Connecticut Sun54c10,864$5,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,968.818447.6%40 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked New York Liberty48c10,353$4,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,969.593740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Connecticut Sun51c5,814$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,848.8117946.4%83 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun51c5,126$2,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,524.381,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Connecticut Sun52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.947950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty50c4,370$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,192.061,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Connecticut Sun48c4,120$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.9850646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Connecticut Sun55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.948348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Connecticut Sun51c2,194$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.1846247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Connecticut Sun50c2,120$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0605752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed New York Liberty46c2,013$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.827655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty46c1,659$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.5783748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Connecticut Sun54c1,415$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.842075%15 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+36.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Connecticut Sun50c1,366$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.928146.9%38 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Connecticut Sun41c1,214$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.2912846.1%59 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Connecticut Sun50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked New York Liberty44c1,170$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.737141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Connecticut Sun51c1,135$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8523746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Connecticut Sun53c1,031$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.6189349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fc…6815backed Connecticut Sun52c1,018$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Liberty47c1,011$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47592248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb39b…9826backed New York Liberty48c983.33$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4722339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty51c921$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.7155255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Connecticut Sun50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4008743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed New York Liberty47c648$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.6528647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed New York Liberty48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed New York Liberty42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25232540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed New York Liberty47c531$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5715746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked New York Liberty45c460.4$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.189348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked New York Liberty48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed New York Liberty47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1884454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Connecticut Sun50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f93…a687backed Connecticut Sun51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1963231.3%10 W · 22 L-6.8wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-40.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd4cf…0e95backed Connecticut Sun53c380$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.65554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Connecticut Sun50c307.6$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.838645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Connecticut Sun50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea53…e1ebbacked Connecticut Sun54c296.3$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed New York Liberty46c291.87$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.269140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed New York Liberty52c273.08$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14212661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Connecticut Sun56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8613348.1%64 W · 69 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Connecticut Sun54c252.14$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.988549.4%42 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed New York Liberty50c223.55$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.15154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed New York Liberty46c215$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.073655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Connecticut Sun50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10021150.2%106 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked New York Liberty48c186.19$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.272157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked New York Liberty47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.930734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked New York Liberty24c169.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8736750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Connecticut Sun50c165.55$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7799548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Connecticut Sun49c162.76$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0120340.9%83 W · 120 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed New York Liberty50c159.39$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3915453.2%82 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed New York Liberty45c155.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed New York Liberty47c155.32$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3774942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Connecticut Sun52c140$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7932346.7%151 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed New York Liberty50c130$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.438962.9%56 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd20c…5031backed New York Liberty46c128.55$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.133351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed New York Liberty51c125.36$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6424656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed New York Liberty45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4aa…0904backed New York Liberty48c106.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Connecticut Sun52c106$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8816450%82 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Connecticut Sun50c101.46$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7315048%72 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked New York Liberty46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4639947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed New York Liberty51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5111353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed New York Liberty46c97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0314345.5%65 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Connecticut Sun51c89.33$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.775259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed New York Liberty45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed New York Liberty46c86.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.131747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Connecticut Sun54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.81353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed New York Liberty45c77.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.747241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Connecticut Sun54c68.43$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.481540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd60…3927backed New York Liberty45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed New York Liberty47c61.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.093754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked New York Liberty47c59.19$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8228140.6%114 W · 167 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Connecticut Sun50c57.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6837850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f20…5d31backed Connecticut Sun52c57.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.423461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Connecticut Sun50c55.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2817946.9%84 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed New York Liberty45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a06…248abacked New York Liberty47c44.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.83742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed New York Liberty49c44.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.646845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed New York Liberty46c44.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2532948.6%160 W · 169 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Connecticut Sun51c43.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1471245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Connecticut Sun54c42.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.42683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe935…3991backed Connecticut Sun48c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.841662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d0…c89bbacked Connecticut Sun49c41.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.172343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Connecticut Sun50c40.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4261547%289 W · 326 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked New York Liberty52c37.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.412650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Connecticut Sun54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed New York Liberty49c37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.136155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed New York Liberty47c33.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.912661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+46.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked New York Liberty51c32.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.573345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked New York Liberty47c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.048438.1%32 W · 52 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6240…54c0backed Connecticut Sun50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c22…7b22backed New York Liberty52c28.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed New York Liberty49c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.728057.5%46 W · 34 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Connecticut Sun49c26.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.776530.8%20 W · 45 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed New York Liberty51c23.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.966053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Connecticut Sun50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.