WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cbef5052b23935346fd4973c43963ce03d185de08d77b2931d65366b91af0dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof New York Liberty, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 7,641$3,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,984.01 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 4,800$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.99 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 3,227$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.77 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked New York Liberty | 51c | 1,855$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.89 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 1,100$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.63 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 656.04$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.7 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Connecticut Sun | 68c | 589.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Liberty | 41c | 496.95$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.31 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 408.02$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.21 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed New York Liberty | 54c | 371.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 300.88$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.54 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed New York Liberty | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed New York Liberty | 50c | 225$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 207.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.47 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed New York Liberty | 54c | 204.7$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 204.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Connecticut Sun | 60c | 196.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 174.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked New York Liberty | 52c | 124.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 109.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Connecticut Sun | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed New York Liberty | 42c | 96.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked New York Liberty | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…56b1backed New York Liberty | 53c | 69.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 56.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed New York Liberty | 52c | 42.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked New York Liberty | 41c | 27.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…44d3backed New York Liberty | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)this page
- Brittney Griner: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Leïla Lacan: Points O/U 11.5No won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut SunNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 173.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 175.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 176.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 177.5Under won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.