TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,456 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c6,638$3,825 inWon+$2,812.551,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over52c4,375$2,273 inLost-$2,273.371,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over35c2,683$926 inLost-$925.9937141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under46c1,000$460 inWon+$54010923.9%26 W · 83 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c730.61$342 inLost-$341.5399548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under66c303.48$200 inWon+$103.485949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c302$142 inLost-$141.9432540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Over34c273.48$93 inLost-$92.989827.6%27 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over46c222.07$101 inLost-$101.0730734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under56c221$124 inWon+$97.0126953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under52c194.57$102 inWon+$92.788053.8%43 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under47c145.35$68 inWon+$77.0450646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under54c144.62$78 inWon+$67.0715453.2%82 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under54c136.35$73 inWon+$63.0724656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over46c131.43$61 inLost-$60.9436750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under50c122.19$62 inWon+$60.558962.9%56 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under50c92$46 inWon+$4634753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over43c80$34 inLost-$34.47241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over47c61.44$29 inLost-$28.8839947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over48c58.13$28 inLost-$27.937850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5e…c62bbacked Under51c32.61$17 inWon+$15.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over52c24.96$13 inLost-$12.986053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3500…07f0backed Under58c20.81$12 inWon+$8.783100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+42.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Under72c17.35$13 inWon+$4.832080%16 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.