TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x987b…3d00

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
396
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Champions League at 49 out of 100; worst WNBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT16555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 165 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+488.3%+$341.79
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$737.89
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.54
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$770
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$23.18
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$529.16
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$245.45
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$798.11
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,700
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+76%+$26.78
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$328.66
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$239.22
Showing 25 of 165 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT13348.1%64 W · 69 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-3.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Spread: Portland Fire (-3.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.94
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+82%+$65.64
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$163.33
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 187.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$96.81
Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$117.86
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-4.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 171.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$73.85
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Toronto Tempo vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 189.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 195.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.23
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9553.7%51 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$37.41
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$36.58
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$57.23
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$48.94
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$48.53
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$43.47
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$74.77
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$36.96
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$34.68
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+102%+$30.61
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Joventut vs. Saski Baskonia: O/U 171.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.