WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf08db2e26cdebbc3b9699d994290fd6636aa27c8012e09e6bf9166cac6df859a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Las Vegas Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Las Vegas Aces | 22c | 5,217$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.87 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 2,380$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.99 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 75c | 2,164$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.24 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 20c | 2,018$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.94 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 1,655$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.61 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…4797backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 1,550$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.49 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 1,439$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.53 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 1,259$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.21 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa406…bd18backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 1,078$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.64 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 823.46$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.03 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 723.09$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.24 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…ced5backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 710$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 484.47$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.39 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Lynx | 70c | 443.85$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 342.31$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +208.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Las Vegas Aces | 21c | 280.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 240.42$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 205.62$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 194.28$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 122.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Las Vegas Aces | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…1306backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 96.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 94.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Minnesota Lynx | 70c | 88.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 27c | 85.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Las Vegas Aces | 24c | 83.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Las Vegas Aces | 28c | 82.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Las Vegas Aces | 28c | 80.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…ad4bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Las Vegas Aces | 20c | 67.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…0904backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 60.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 58.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 55.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 31.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…f338backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 28.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 181.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 182.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 183.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 184.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 185.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.