TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Las Vegas Aces
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,667
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,667 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf08…907ebacked Las Vegas Aces54c11,116$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0001963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Minnesota Lynx47c4,460$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.067549.3%37 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Lynx50c4,357$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.0499548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Minnesota Lynx48c3,842$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.939140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae5c…5df7backed Minnesota Lynx57c3,324$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces50c3,034$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.361,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx61c2,882$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.231,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Las Vegas Aces47c2,861$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.5578548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Las Vegas Aces52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.997950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Las Vegas Aces47c2,488$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.1837141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Minnesota Lynx47c2,476$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.814339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Minnesota Lynx48c2,200$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1445752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Minnesota Lynx47c2,174$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.2113048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Minnesota Lynx47c2,105$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.7511457.9%66 W · 48 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Las Vegas Aces49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98013746%63 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Las Vegas Aces52c1,920$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.46956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Minnesota Lynx47c1,799$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.328859.1%52 W · 36 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Las Vegas Aces53c1,674$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.289349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Minnesota Lynx51c1,505$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.532540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Las Vegas Aces30c1,219$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.8950646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Las Vegas Aces51c1,156$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.5655255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Minnesota Lynx49c1,009$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.387655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Minnesota Lynx50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5006154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Las Vegas Aces52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Las Vegas Aces35c941.27$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.4536750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Lynx45c937.06$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.2883748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Minnesota Lynx47c750.43$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.735561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Las Vegas Aces51c627.45$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3206237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Las Vegas Aces47c599.99$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28213742.3%58 W · 79 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Lynx50c586.73$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.5785158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Minnesota Lynx45c539.79$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.7438650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Minnesota Lynx48c520.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.7615746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe73…7d93backed Las Vegas Aces23c402.17$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.55242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Las Vegas Aces48c396.44$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.29650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Las Vegas Aces53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007450%37 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Las Vegas Aces52c342.76$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2412661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3992…349cbacked Minnesota Lynx48c333.15$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.247435.1%26 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Minnesota Lynx46c300$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.539947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Minnesota Lynx48c264.77$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.756643.9%29 W · 37 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Las Vegas Aces48c246.48$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3125246%116 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Minnesota Lynx48c239.58$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5828558.6%167 W · 118 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed Minnesota Lynx48c236.13$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.791250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2828…23c1backed Minnesota Lynx48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Las Vegas Aces53c201.35$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0623746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Minnesota Lynx49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1028038.8%31 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e6f…fbccbacked Las Vegas Aces50c200$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Minnesota Lynx51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Las Vegas Aces45c170.2$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.517656.8%100 W · 76 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Minnesota Lynx45c145$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.751533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Las Vegas Aces52c118.7$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.724369.8%30 W · 13 L+7.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Las Vegas Aces51c111.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7514345.5%65 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Las Vegas Aces39c105.13$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4113138.9%51 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Las Vegas Aces51c104.2$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1432750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Las Vegas Aces52c104$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.086440.6%26 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Las Vegas Aces53c103.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…cfdabacked Las Vegas Aces53c103.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Las Vegas Aces53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5316153.4%86 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Minnesota Lynx46c87.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8417946.9%84 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Minnesota Lynx61c85.22$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.598556.5%48 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Las Vegas Aces38c78.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7334918.3%64 W · 285 L-49.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf1e6…7c34backed Las Vegas Aces54c72$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Minnesota Lynx48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.54463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Minnesota Lynx48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.55560%33 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Minnesota Lynx45c59.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7932346.7%151 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56b4…11adbacked Las Vegas Aces40c59.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.993040%12 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Minnesota Lynx47c59$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.279348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Las Vegas Aces53c55.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7164152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Las Vegas Aces31c47.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8120340.9%83 W · 120 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Lynx47c43.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.292248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Minnesota Lynx48c41.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6321150.2%106 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Minnesota Lynx61c38.06$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9913355.6%74 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Minnesota Lynx53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.743345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460c…b5b5backed Minnesota Lynx59c31.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.931968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Las Vegas Aces52c27.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4413249.2%65 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Las Vegas Aces46c25.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5610543.8%46 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Las Vegas Aces47c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.819156%51 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Las Vegas Aces51c22.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6612650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f0…285fbacked Minnesota Lynx48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.89757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed Minnesota Lynx61c17.09$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.741050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.