WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 181.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x139473fabf18821d64b79cdd28c8af14b6609b6991d7b2f1b628031491dc24f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 50c | 16,935$8,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,467.65 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 11,925$5,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,029.9 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Under | 52c | 10,470$5,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,394.79 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 4,091$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.91 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 2,944$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.35 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Over | 51c | 2,028$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.48 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…d690backed Over | 50c | 1,989$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 33c | 1,795$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.11 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 1,275$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 984.37$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.87 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 979.73$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.8 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 512$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.68 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Over | 50c | 479.06$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.53 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 455.22$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.13 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 416.61$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.88 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 72c | 400.11$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.11 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 50c | 306$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 237.3$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.39 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 51c | 196.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 50c | 190.57$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…5405backed Under | 41c | 190$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Over | 69c | 179.75$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.92 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 52c | 164$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed Over | 59c | 160.42$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 48c | 159.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 67c | 154.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 56c | 106.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 89.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Over | 65c | 89.77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 72c | 84.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 62c | 58.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Over | 65c | 57.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8513…7d41backed Over | 50c | 49.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Under | 45c | 43.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 24cpaid | +374.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 62c | 43.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked Over | 65c | 30.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 50c | 30.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…1030backed Over | 55c | 23.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…6648backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…996cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Over | 51c | 19.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 62c | 17.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 181.5this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 182.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 183.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 184.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 185.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.